HomeMy WebLinkAbouthiv-report-2013-2015-archiveHIV Epidemiology
& Surveillance Unit
Alameda County
Public Health Department
HIV in Alameda County,
2013-2015
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015
February 2017
HIV Epidemiology and Surveillance Unit
HIV STD Section
Division of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention
Alameda County Public Health Department
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 ii
Alameda County Public Health Department
Director & Health Officer Muntu Davis, MD, MPH
Division of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention
Director Erica Pan, MD, MPH
HIV STD Section
Director Nicholas J. Moss, MD, MPH
HIV Epidemiology and Surveillance Unit
Director Neena Murgai, PhD, MPH
Epidemiologists Richard J. Lechtenberg, MPH, CPH
Janet Tang, PhD, MPH
Surveillance Clerk Danielle Coggins
Public Health Investigators Jesus Altamirano
George Banks, MD
Oliver Heitkamp
Maria Hernandez
Alameda County Public Health Department
HIV Epidemiology and Surveillance Unit
1000 Broadway, Suite 310
Oakland, CA 94607
Phone: (510) 268-2372
Fax: (510) 208-1278
Email: Neena.Murgai@acgov.org
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 iii
Acknowledgements
This report was produced by the HIV Epidemiology and Surveillance Unit. Richard Lechtenberg, MPH, CPH
conducted data analysis and compiled findings. Overall guidance on analysis and content as well as editorial
review were provided Neena Murgai, Ph.D., MPH. Review and comments were provided by Janet Tang, Ph.D.,
MPH. Case investigation, data collection, and data management were conducted by the HIV Surveillance Team:
Jesus Altamirano, George Banks, Oliver Heitkamp, Maria Hernandez, and Danielle Coggins.
Cover Photo: “Dusk in the Oakland Hills” by Joe Parks is licensed under CC BY 2.0,
https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=26550998.
This report is available online at http://www.acphd.org/data-reports/reports-by-topic/hivaids.aspx.
Suggested citation for this report:
Alameda County Public Health Department. HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015.
http://www.acphd.org/data-reports/reports-by-topic/hivaids.aspx. Published February 2017. Accessed [date].
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 iv
Contents
1 Background 1
Overview of this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
HIV/AIDS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
Definitions Used in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
Other Conventions Used . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4
2 New Diagnoses 5
Characteristics of New Diagnoses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6
Diagnosis Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9
Timeliness of Diagnosis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12
3 People Living with HIV 27
Characteristics of PLHIV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28
Prevalence Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29
Deaths Among PLHIV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32
4 The Continuum of HIV Care 39
The Overall Continuum of Care . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40
Linkage to Care . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40
Retention in Care . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43
Virologic Status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44
Appendix A: Technical Notes 66
Data Sources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66
Statistical Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66
Data Suppression Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66
Death Ascertainment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .67
Appendix B: Reporting Requirements 68
Health Care Providers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .68
Laboratories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .69
Appendix C: HIV Surveillance in Alameda County 71
Security and Confidentiality of Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71
Bibliography 74
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 v
List of Figures
1.1 Regions of Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3
1.2 Neighborhoods in the City of Oakland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3
2.1 New Diagnoses by Sex,
Alameda County, 2006-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6
2.2 New Diagnoses by Sex and Mode of Transmission,
Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6
2.3 New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7
2.4 Age of New Diagnoses,
Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7
2.5 Geographic Distribution of New HIV Cases by Residence at HIV Diagnosis,
Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8
2.6 Residence at HIV Diagnosis,
Oakland and Surrounding Area, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8
2.7 Rates of New Diagnoses by Sex,
Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9
2.8 Trends in Rates of New Diagnoses by Sex,
Alameda County, 2006-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9
2.9 Rates of New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10
2.10 Trends in Rates of New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2006-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10
2.11 Trends in Rates of New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity and Sex,
Alameda County, 2006-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11
2.12 Rates of New Diagnoses by Age,
Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11
2.13 Trends in Rates of New Diagnoses by Age,
Alameda County, 2006-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12
2.14 Late Diagnosis by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13
2.15 Late Diagnosis by Sex,
Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13
vi
2.16 Late Diagnosis by Age,
Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14
2.17 First CD4 Count at Diagnosis by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14
2.18 First CD4 Count at Diagnosis by Sex,
Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15
2.19 First CD4 Count at Diagnosis by Age,
Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15
3.1 PLHIV by Sex,
Alameda County, year-end 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28
3.2 PLHIV by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, year-end 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28
3.3 Age of PLHIV,
Alameda County, year-end 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29
3.4 Prevalence of HIV by Sex,
Alameda County, year-end 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29
3.5 Prevalence of HIV by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, year-end 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30
3.6 Prevalence of HIV by Age,
Alameda County, year-end 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30
3.7 Prevalence of HIV by Census Tract of Residence,
Alameda County, year-end 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31
3.8 Prevalence of HIV by Census Tract of Residence,
Oakland and Surrounding Area, year-end 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31
3.9 Death Rate among Alameda County Residents Ever Diagnosed with AIDS,
1985-2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32
4.1 The Continuum of HIV Care in Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40
4.2 Days Between Diagnosis and First CD4 or Viral Load, Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . .41
4.3 Linkage to HIV Care within 90 Days of Diagnosis by Sex,
Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41
4.4 Linkage to HIV Care within 90 Days of Diagnosis by Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2012-2014 42
4.5 Linkage to HIV Care within 90 Days of Diagnosis by Age,
Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42
4.6 Number of HIV Care Visits per PLHIV in 2014,
Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43
4.7 Retention in HIV Care by Sex,
Alameda County, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43
4.8 Retention in HIV Care by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44
4.9 Retention in HIV Care by Age,
Alameda County, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44
4.10 Virologic Status by Sex,
Alameda County, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 vii
4.11 Virologic Status by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45
4.12 Virologic Status by Age,
Alameda County, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45
A.1 Timeline of Mandated HIV Reporting in California . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .72
A.2 The HIV Surveillance System in Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .73
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 viii
List of Tables
2.1 New HIV Diagnoses, Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16
2.2 HIV Diagnosis Rates by Sex and Age, Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18
2.3 HIV Diagnosis Rates by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . .19
2.4 HIV Diagnosis Rates by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, 2013-2015 . . . . . . . . . . .20
2.5 Late Diagnosis by Sex and Age, Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23
2.6 Late Diagnosis by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24
2.7 Late Diagnosis by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, 2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25
3.1 People Living with HIV Disease and Prevalence Rates, Alameda County, Year-End 2015 . . . . . .33
3.2 HIV Prevalence by Sex and Age, Alameda County, Year-End 2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35
3.3 HIV Prevalence by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, Year-End 2015 . . . . . . . . . . .36
3.4 HIV Prevalence by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, Year-End 2015 . . . . . . . . . . .37
4.1 Timely Linkage to HIV Care Among New Diagnoses by Sex and Age, Alameda County, 2012-2014 46
4.2 Timely Linkage to HIV Care Among New Diagnoses by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County,
2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47
4.3 Timely Linkage to HIV Care Among New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County,
2012-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .48
4.4 Engagement in HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Age, Alameda County 50
4.5 Engagement in HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51
4.6 Engagement in HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity and Age,
Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52
4.7 Retention in Continuous HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Age,
Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55
4.8 Retention in Continuous HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .56
4.9 Retention in Continuous HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity
and Age, Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .57
4.10 Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Age, Alameda County . .60
4.11 Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda
County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61
4.12 Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda
County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .62
ix
4.13 Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 and in Care in 2014 by Sex, Alameda
County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .64
4.14 Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 and in Care in 2014 by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .65
4.15 Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 and in Care in 2014 by Age, Alameda
County . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .65
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 x
Background
1
Background
Overview of this Report
This report is based on human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) case surveillance in Alameda County. It summarizes
data on HIV in three chapters as described below.
1.New Diagnoses: This chapter describes patterns of HIV diagnosis in Alameda County, characterizing those
who were recently diagnosed according to demographic factors, risk factors and stage of disease.
2.People Living with HIV: The second chapter of the report describes the characteristics of all people known
to be living with HIV disease (PLHIV) in Alameda County. This chapter describes the total burden of HIV
disease in the county and how it varies by demographic factors as well as by geography. It also describes
changes in mortality rates (deaths) over time among those ever diagnosed with Acquired Immune Deficiency
Syndrome (AIDS).
3.The Continuum of HIV Care: The final chapter of this report presents the continuum of HIV care in
Alameda County. Modern medical treatments for HIV can halt the progression of the disease and prevent
its spread, but not all persons living with HIV receive effective treatment. The continuum of HIV care (also
known as the “HIV care cascade”) is a framework that presents different indicators of engagement in HIV
care among PLHIV, including linkage to care, retention in care, and viral suppression.
HIV/AIDS
HIV attacks the immune system, weakening it over time such that HIV-infected persons become increasingly
susceptible to opportunistic infections and other medical conditions. The most advanced stage of infection, when
the immune system is weakest, is called AIDS. Medical treatments can inhibit HIV’s ability to replicate and greatly
temper its effect, but the human body cannot clear HIV. HIV primarily is transmitted through unprotected sex,
needle-sharing, or spread from mother to fetus during pregnancy.
Definitions Used in this Report
Stages of HIV Infection
For surveillance purposes, HIV disease progression is classified into 4 stages from acute infection (Stage 0) to AIDS
(Stage 3). In this report, we use “HIV” to refer to HIV disease at any stage (including Stage 3/AIDS) and AIDS
to refer specifically to Stage 3 HIV disease. We use the acronym “PLHIV” to refer to all people living with HIV
disease, regardless of stage.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 1
Background
Case Definition
All reported HIV cases must meet the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) case definition based
on laboratory or clinical criteria. [3] Clinical criteria include a medical provider diagnosis and evidence of HIV
treatment, unexplained low CD4 count, or opportunistic infection. The full criteria may be found at http:
//www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/rr6303a1.htm.
Transmission Category
For surveillance purposes, each reported HIV case must be classified according to their risk factors for acquiring
HIV. Cases with multiple risk factors are assigned a transmission category, the risk factor most likely to have re-
sulted in HIV transmission according to a hierarchy developed by the CDC. In this context, “heterosexual contact”
refers to sexual contact with a partner of the opposite sex with a known risk factor for HIV. In some cases, part-
ners’ risk factors are unknown, leaving some heterosexual cases without known HIV risk factors. Such cases are
assigned to the “unknown” transmission category. The only exception is when a case’s sex at birth is female and
she reported sex with males, in which case she is presumed to have been infected through heterosexual contact in
accordance with CDC-accepted guidance set by the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists. [6]
Demographics
Demographic data in this report are based on investigations of medical records. Although the transgender commu-
nity is highly impacted by HIV, data on current gender identity are not reliably captured in medical records. For
this reason, all analyses are presented by sex assigned at birth, for which we use “sex” as shorthand.
Data from racial/ethnic groups in which there were very small numbers were combined for these analyses. Asians
and Pacific Islanders are combined into a single category. American Indians, Alaskan Natives, and those identifying
with multiple races are combined along with those of unknown race into another group (“Other/Unk”). In tables
and charts, the category “Asians and Pacific Islanders” is abbreviated “API” and “African American” is abbreviated
“AfrAmer”.
Geographic Area
Residential addresses are geocoded to census tract and city/Census-designated place. Region and neighborhood
boundaries established by the Alameda County Community Assessment, Planning, and Evaluation (CAPE) unit
based on census tract aggregates are used. These geographic areas are shown in Figures 1.1 and 1.2.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 2
Background
Figure 1.1: Regions of Alameda County
Figure 1.2: Neighborhoods in the City of Oakland
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 3
Background
Other Conventions Used
Indicators that are broken out by subgroup (e.g., race/ethnicity) are presented along with the overall group total
(e.g., all races) for comparison.
Where rates are presented, they are often accompanied by error bars to convey their degree of statistical variability.
These error bars depict 95% confidence intervals (a “margin of error”) for the estimates. (In the case of trends, error
bands formed by connecting the ends of these margins of error are shown.) Confidence intervals are displayed
in select subgroup analyses of indicators. Confidence intervals that do not overlap are considered “statistically
significant” and generally represent true differences that are not attributed to chance alone, though it is still possible.
Details regarding how these confidence intervals are calculated can be found in the technical notes (see “Calculation
of Confidence Intervals” on page 66).
Tables showing breakdowns of populations (e.g., new diagnoses, people living with HIV) for indicators (e.g., diag-
nosis rates, viral suppression) by demographic or other subgroup are included at the end of each chapter. Note that
in each table the length of the green bar is proportional to the fraction of the total population in that subgroup. Ad-
ditionally, estimates of each indicator and lines depicting 95% confidence intervals for the estimate are also shown
for absolute comparisons between subgroups. Relative comparisons of subgroups (e.g., “Late diagnosis is three
times as common in group A as it is in group B”) may be made by comparing estimates, when shown. Unreliable
estimates are not shown in tables, although their confidence intervals may be. Details on data suppression can be
found in the technical notes (see “Data Suppression Rules” 4 on page 66).
Lastly, in order to protect privacy, case counts less than five are not presented in this report.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 4
New Diagnoses
2
New Diagnoses
Estimating the incidence of new HIV infections is complex due to the variable time interval between when a person
becomes infected and when their infection is diagnosed. However, due to reporting requirements, surveillance data
reliably describe new HIV diagnoses. In 2015, there were an estimated 39,513 new diagnoses of HIV infection in
the US for an overall diagnosis rate of 12.3 per 100,000 persons. Rates were highest among men as compared to
women (24.4 vs. 5.4 diagnoses per 100,000), those aged 20-24 or 25-29 (31.2 and 33.4 per 100,000, respectively),
African Americans and Latinos (44.3 and 16.4 per 100,000), and in the South and Northeast (16.8 and 11.6 per
100,000). Men who have sex with men (MSM), including those that inject drugs, accounted for 70% of all infections,
heterosexual contact accounted for 24%, and other modes of transmission accounted for the remaining 6%. [4] In
California, there were an estimated 5,002 new diagnoses for an overall statewide rate of 13.0 diagnoses per 100,000
in 2014. The epidemiology of HIV in Alameda County largely mirrored that in the nation, with the exception
that heterosexual contact was believed to account for only about 18% of all new diagnoses among Alameda County
residents. [1]
The sections below describe HIV in Alameda County by examining characteristics of new diagnoses, new diagnosis
rates, and the timeliness of diagnoses by demographic characteristics. Data presented in this chapter are also sum-
marized in Table 2.1. Detailed stratification of newly diagnosed cases in 2013-2015 by sex, age and race/ethnicity
are provided in Tables 2.2 - 2.7 at the end of this chapter.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 5
New Diagnoses
Characteristics of New Diagnoses
Since HIV became reportable by name in California in 2006, between 200 and 300 new cases of HIV disease have
been reported each year among Alameda County residents.
In Alameda County, those newly
diagnosed with HIV disease were
overwhelmingly male. The
proportion of new diagnoses
among males increased steadily
from 77.1% in 2006 to 87.6% in
2012 before decreasing over the
subsequent 2 years to 83.1% in
2015.
Figure 2.1: New Diagnoses by Sex,
Alameda County, 2006-2015
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2006
(N=284)
2007
(N=307)
2008
(N=235)
2009
(N=273)
2010
(N=234)
2011
(N=212)
2012
(N=234)
2013
(N=213)
2014
(N=204)
2015
(N=261)
Male Female
NOTE: “Sex” here refers to sex assigned at birth.
Among the 575 men diagnosed
with HIV from 2013 to 2015, the
overwhelming majority were men
who have sex with men (MSM).
Nearly eight in ten newly
diagnosed women were reported
to or presumed to have become
infected by a heterosexual sex
partner who had a documented
HIV risk factor; nearly all the
remaining women were through
injection drug use (IDU).
Figure 2.2: New Diagnoses by Sex and Mode of Transmission,
Alameda County, 2013-2015
Female (N=103)
Male (N=575)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
MSM MSM & IDU IDU
Heterosexual Contact Presumed Heterosexual Contact Unknown
NOTES: “Sex” here refers to sex assigned at birth.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 6
New Diagnoses
From 2013 to 2015, the largest
proportion of new HIV diagnoses
was among African Americans,
who comprised about 40% of new
diagnoses. Whites and Latinos
each comprised nearly a quarter
and Asians and Pacific Islanders
11% of new diagnoses.
Figure 2.3: New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2013-2015
23%
2.8%
10.9%
38.3%
24.9%
Other/Unk
API
Latino
White
AfrAmer
0 100 200 300
Number of Cases
NOTE: “Other/Unk” includes American Indians, Alaskan Natives, and
those identifying with multiple racial categories as well as those for whom
race/ethnicity could not be identified.
The median age among Alameda
County residents diagnosed with
HIV disease from 2013 to 2015
was 35 years. Most diagnoses
were among those in their
twenties to forties.
Figure 2.4: Age of New Diagnoses,
Alameda County, 2013-2015
27.0 35.0 47.0
0
20
40
60
80
0 20 40 60 80
Age in years at first HIV diagnosis
Nu
m
b
e
r
o
f
C
a
s
e
s
NOTE: The dashed lines indicate the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile values
for age among the new diagnoses.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 7
New Diagnoses
New diagnoses of HIV were most
concentrated in the Oakland area
and in the central county region
(as defined in 1.1 on page 3).
Figure 2.5: Geographic Distribution of New HIV Cases by Residence
at HIV Diagnosis,
Alameda County, 2013-2015
Contra Costa
San Joaquin
San Mateo
Santa Clara
Fremont
Sunol
Oakland
Hayward
Livermore
Dublin
Pleasanton
Union City
Newark
Berkeley
San Leandro
Alameda
Castro Valley
Fairview
Alameda
Albany
San Lorenzo
Ashland
Piedmont
Emeryville
Cherryland
0 5 102.5 Miles±
San Francisco Bay
NOTE: N=628; an additional 22 diagnoses (3.38% of all) are not repre-
sented due to incomplete street address.
Within the Oakland area, new
diagnoses were less concentrated
in the Oakland hills (Northwest
Hills, Southeast Hills, and Lower
Hills neighborhoods) than the
rest of the city.
Figure 2.6: Residence at HIV Diagnosis,
Oakland and Surrounding Area, 2013-2015
San Francisco
Oakland
Berkeley
San Leandro
Alameda
Castro Valley
Alameda
Albany
Piedmont
Emeryville
Elmhurst
Lower HillsWest Oakland
Fruitvale
Central East Oakland
San Antonio
Southeast Hills
Northwest Hills
North Oakland
Downtown and Chinatown
Contra Costa
San Francisco Bay
0 1.5 30.75 Miles
±Oaklandneighborhoods
Cities
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 8
New Diagnoses
Diagnosis Rates
This section examines trends in HIV diagnosis rates. Diagnosis rates do not necessarily mean HIV incidence.
Trends in diagnosis rates may reflect changes over time in HIV incidence, but may also reflect changes in HIV
testing practices. For example, HIV incidence could decrease while HIV diagnosis rates increase if more HIV-
unaware persons are tested and diagnosed.
Due to small numbers of diagnoses occurring in Alameda County in any given year, annual diagnosis rates may
be statistically unstable. We performed statistical analyses to identify trends that are least likely to reflect random
year-to-year variability and indicated significance in captions;apparent trends do not indicate statistical significance
unless specified.
From 2013 to 2015, there were 678 new HIV diagnoses with an annual rate of 14.4 per 100,000 residents in Alameda
County.
New diagnosis rates were nearly
six times higher among males
than among females during
2013-2015.
Figure 2.7: Rates of New Diagnoses by Sex,
Alameda County, 2013-2015
14.4
24.9
4.3
Female (N=103)
Male (N=575)
All (N=678)
0 10 20 30
Annual Diagnosis Rate per 100,000
NOTE: “Sex” here refers to sex assigned at birth.
HIV diagnosis rates declined
steadily between 2006 and 2015,
decreasing by an average 3.6%
annually overall, 2.4% annually
among males, and 9.2% annually
among females. Rates have
consistently been higher in men.
Figure 2.8: Trends in Rates of New Diagnoses by Sex,
Alameda County, 2006-2015
0
10
20
30
40
20
0
6
−
0
8
20
0
7
−
0
9
20
0
8
−
1
0
20
0
9
−
1
1
20
1
0
−
1
2
20
1
1
−
1
3
20
1
2
−
1
4
20
1
3
−
1
5
An
n
u
a
l
D
i
a
g
n
o
s
i
s
R
a
t
e
pe
r
1
0
0
,
0
0
0
All Male Female
NOTE: “Sex” here refers to sex assigned at birth.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 9
New Diagnoses
From 2013 to 2015, the highest
diagnosis rate was among African
Americans, which was more than
three times higher than the
second most impacted group,
Latinos. The lowest diagnosis rate
was seen among Asians and
Pacific Islanders.
Figure 2.9: Rates of New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2013-2015
14.4
49.1
10.9
14.4
5.6
API (N=74)
Latino (N=156)
White (N=169)
AfrAmer (N=260)
All races (N=678)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Annual Diagnosis Rate per 100,000
Diagnosis rates were relatively
constant since 2006 in most
racial/ethnic groups. The
apparent increase in recent years
was not a statistically significant
trend. However, the average
annual decline in diagnosis rate of
4.9% among African Americans
was statistically significant.
Figure 2.10: Trends in Rates of New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2006-2015
0
25
50
75
100
20
0
6
−
0
8
20
0
7
−
0
9
20
0
8
−
1
0
20
0
9
−
1
1
20
1
0
−
1
2
20
1
1
−
1
3
20
1
2
−
1
4
20
1
3
−
1
5
An
n
u
a
l
D
i
a
g
n
o
s
i
s
R
a
t
e
pe
r
1
0
0
,
0
0
0
All races AfrAmer White Latino API
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 10
New Diagnoses
The overall decline in the county-wide diagnosis rate was driven largely by decreases in diagnoses among African
Americans, and in particular, African American women, where rates decreased by 9.6% per year on average.
Whereas there were 42.8 new diagnoses per 100,000 African American women in 2006-2008, that rate was more
than halved by 2012-2014 to 18.2 new diagnoses per 100,000. Rates also declined among Latino women, by an
average 7.8% per year. Among all males, the only significant trend was a decline among African Americans of
3.2% per year on average.
Figure 2.11: Trends in Rates of New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity and Sex,
Alameda County, 2006-2015
Male Female
0
30
60
90
120
0
30
60
90
120
20
0
6
−
0
8
20
0
7
−
0
9
20
0
8
−
1
0
20
0
9
−
1
1
20
1
0
−
1
2
20
1
1
−
1
3
20
1
2
−
1
4
20
1
3
−
1
5
20
0
6
−
0
8
20
0
7
−
0
9
20
0
8
−
1
0
20
0
9
−
1
1
20
1
0
−
1
2
20
1
1
−
1
3
20
1
2
−
1
4
20
1
3
−
1
5
An
n
u
a
l
D
i
a
g
n
o
s
i
s
R
a
t
e
pe
r
1
0
0
,
0
0
0
All races AfrAmer White Latino API
NOTE: “Sex” refers to sex assigned at birth.
From 2013 to 2015, new HIV
diagnoses were most common
among those in their tweinties,
thirties, and forties, with an
average 33.3, 23.2, and 21.2
diagnoses per 100,000
respectively. New HIV diagnoses
were somewhat less common
among those in their fifties and
least common among those at the
extremes of the age spectrum (i.e.,
teens and those aged 60 & over).
Figure 2.12: Rates of New Diagnoses by Age,
Alameda County, 2013-2015
14.4
4.3
33.3
23.2
21.2
14.4
4.760 & over (N=40)
50−59 (N=93)
40−49 (N=143)
30−39 (N=159)
20−29 (N=225)
13−19 (N=18)
All ages (N=678)
0 10 20 30 40 50
Annual Diagnosis Rate per 100,000
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 11
New Diagnoses
Figure 2.13: Trends in Rates of New Diagnoses by Age,
Alameda County, 2006-2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
20
0
6
−
0
8
20
0
7
−
0
9
20
0
8
−
1
0
20
0
9
−
1
1
20
1
0
−
1
2
20
1
1
−
1
3
20
1
2
−
1
4
20
1
3
−
1
5
An
n
u
a
l
D
i
a
g
n
o
s
i
s
R
a
t
e
pe
r
1
0
0
,
0
0
0
All ages 13−19 20−29 30−39 40−49 50−59 60 & over
By age, diagnosis rates have decreased by an average of 5.9% per year among those 30-39 and 5.4% per year among
those 40-49. While rates among those 60 & over decreased by an average of 17.1% per year through 2012, they have
held steady since then. Rates in younger age groups appear to have largely held steady for the past decade.
By age and race, the only significant trends in diagnosis rates that were identified were among African Americans:
6.7% annual decline among those aged 30-39 and 50 & over and a 9.2% decline among those aged 40-49.
Stratified diagnosis rates by sex, age and race/ethnicity are provided in tables at the end of this chapter. The
disparity in diagnosis rates between African Americans and whites was more pronounced among females compared
to males. While African American males had 4.1 times the diagnosis rates compared to whites diagnosed in 2013-
2015, African American females had 8.5 times the diagnosis rates of whites (Table 2.3).
Timeliness of Diagnosis
Diagnosis of HIV early in the course of infection is an important component of effective HIV prevention and
control as it reduces both the risk of transmission to others and, with treatment, the impact of HIV infection on a
person’s health.
Late Diagnosis
A commonly-used indicator of late HIV diagnosis is the time to progression to AIDS (stage 3 infection). A diagnosis
is considered to be late if AIDS is diagnosed at the same time as a person’s initial HIV diagnosis or if the person
progresses to AIDS within one year of the initial HIV diagnosis. The analyses presented in this section are for
2012-2014 to allow a full year of follow-up from initial HIV diagnosis. Stratified analyses of late diagnosis by sex,
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 12
New Diagnoses
age, and race/ethnicity is provided in tables at the end of this chapter. Apparent differences should be interpreted
with caution due to the small numbers of diagnoses seen in some subgroups, resulting in statistical instability.
In Alameda County, 35.9% of
new diagnoses between 2012 and
2014 were late. Although whites
and Asians and Pacific Islanders
appear to have the lowest rate and
Latinos the highest, differences by
race were not statistically
significant.
Figure 2.14: Late Diagnosis by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
31.9%
40.1%
32.9%
34.8%
35.9%
API (N=72)
Latino (N=152)
White (N=152)
AfrAmer (N=253)
All races (N=651)
0%10%20%30%40%50%
Percent with a late diagnosis
There was no statistical difference
in late diagnosis by sex.
Figure 2.15: Late Diagnosis by Sex,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
30.7%
36.8%
35.9%
Female (N=88)
Male (N=563)
All (N=651)
0%10%20%30%40%50%
Percent with a late diagnosis
NOTE: “Sex” refers to sex assigned at birth.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 13
New Diagnoses
The proportion of late diagnoses
generally increased with age: over
half of HIV diagnoses among
those aged 60 and over were late.
Late diagnosis was less common
among those aged 20 to 29—fewer
than 3 in 10 were diagnosed late
in this age group. Differences by
age group and the trend of
increasing rate of late diagnosis as
age increased, were statistically
significant.
Figure 2.16: Late Diagnosis by Age,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
51.7%
40.2%
43.6%
34.2%
27.7%
30.4%
35.9%
60 & over (N=29)
50−59 (N=82)
40−49 (N=165)
30−39 (N=149)
20−29 (N=202)
13−19 (N=23)
All ages (N=651)
0%20%40%60%
Percent with a late diagnosis
First CD4 Count
CD4 cell count at the time of diagnosis is another indicator of the timeliness of HIV diagnosis. CD4+ T-cells,
an important component of the human immune system, are infected and killed by the HIV virus. Anti-retroviral
therapy (ART) allows the body to increase the CD4 count, but the longer a person goes without taking ART,
which controls the level of HIV in their body, the lower their CD4 count will be and the more susceptible the
person will be to opportunistic infections. Once a person’s CD4 count falls below 200cells/mm3, the person is
considered to have AIDS.1
Among those diagnosed with
HIV disease in 2012-2014 and for
whom a CD4 count was
conducted within 90 days, the
median CD4 count at the time of
diagnosis was 370.5 cells/mm3.
Whites had the highest median
CD4 count at diagnosis among all
racial/ethnic groups and Asian
Pacific Islanders and Latinos the
lowest.
Figure 2.17: First CD4 Count at Diagnosis by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
301.0
324.0
444.0
386.0
370.5
API (N=59)
Latino (N=127)
White (N=121)
AfrAmer (N=192)
All races (N=516)
0 100 200 300 400 500
Median CD4
1Note that the analyses presented in this section exclude 135 cases (20.7% of all diagnoses) with a first CD4 count more than 90 days after
diagnosis.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 14
New Diagnoses
Median CD4 within 90 days of
diagnosis was comparable
between males and females. This
is consistent with the lack of
difference in late diagnosis by sex.
Figure 2.18: First CD4 Count at Diagnosis by Sex,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
371.0
370.0
370.5
Female (N=73)
Male (N=443)
All (N=516)
0 100 200 300 400 500
Median CD4
NOTE: “Sex” refers to sex assigned at birth.
Those aged 20-29 had a
substantially higher median CD4
count at diagnosis than any other
age group. Median CD4 count
was generally lower in
successively older age groups,
with the possible exception of
those aged 50-59. Those 60 and
older had the lowest median CD4
count at diagnosis. However, data
for this group and those aged
13-19 should be interpreted with
caution due to small numbers.
Figure 2.19: First CD4 Count at Diagnosis by Age,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
258.0
350.5
301.0
370.5
427.0
430.0
370.5
60 & over (N=21)
50−59 (N=66)
40−49 (N=130)
30−39 (N=110)
20−29 (N=167)
13−19 (N=21)
All ages (N=516)
0 100 200 300 400 500
Median CD4
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 15
New Diagnoses
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HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 16
New Diagnoses
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HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 17
New Diagnoses
Table 2.2: HIV Diagnosis Rates by Sex and Age, Alameda County, 2013-2015
Sexa Age Average
Annual
Count
Percent Average Annual
Diagnosis Rate
per 100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
All All ages 226.0 100.0%14.4 12.5 - 16.3
0-4 0.0 0.0%****
5-12 0.0 0.0%****
13-19 6.0 2.7%4.3 2.6 - 6.9
20-24 32.3 14.3%28.3 23.0 - 34.6
25-29 42.7 18.9%38.3 26.8 - 49.9
30-39 53.0 23.5%23.2 16.9 - 29.4
40-49 47.7 21.1%21.2 15.2 - 27.2
50 & over 44.3 19.6%8.9 6.3 - 11.6
Male All ages 191.7 84.8%24.9 21.4 - 28.4
0-4 ****
5-12 0.0 0.0%****
13-19 ****
20-24 29.0 12.8%50.1 40.1 - 61.8
25-29 39.7 17.6%70.9 48.8 - 92.9
30-39 45.3 20.1%40.3 28.6 - 52.1
40-49 40.0 17.7%35.9 24.8 - 47.0
50 & over 33.0 14.6%14.3 11.6 - 17.4
Female All ages 34.3 15.2%4.3 2.9 - 5.7
0-4 ****
5-12 0.0 0.0%****
13-19 ****
20-24 3.3 1.5%****
25-29 3.0 1.3%****
30-39 7.7 3.4%6.6 4.2 - 9.9
40-49 7.7 3.4%6.7 4.3 - 10.1
50 & over 11.3 5.0%4.3 3.0 - 6.0
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]Refersto sex assigned at birth
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 18
New Diagnoses
Table 2.3: HIV Diagnosis Rates by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2013-2015
Sexa Race/
Ethnicityb Average
Annual
Count
Percent Average Annual
Diagnosis Rate
per 100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
All All races 226.0 100.0%14.4 12.5 - 16.3
AfrAmer 86.7 38.3%49.1 38.8 - 59.5
White 56.3 24.9%10.9 8.0 - 13.7
Latino 52.0 23.0%14.4 10.5 - 18.3
API 24.7 10.9%5.6 4.4 - 7.1
Other/Unk 6.3 2.8%----
Male All races 191.7 84.8%24.9 21.4 - 28.4
AfrAmer 66.0 29.2%79.8 60.6 - 99.1
White 49.7 22.0%19.3 13.9 - 24.7
Latino 48.0 21.2%26.0 18.7 - 33.4
API ****
Other/Unk **----
Female All races 34.3 15.2%4.3 2.9 - 5.7
AfrAmer 20.7 9.1%22.1 16.9 - 28.3
White 6.7 2.9%2.6 1.6 - 4.0
Latino 4.0 1.8%2.3 1.2 - 3.9
API ****
Other/Unk **----
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]Refersto sex assigned at birth
[b]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[--]Rate not calculable forlack of a denominator.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 19
New Diagnoses
Table 2.4: HIV Diagnosis Rates by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, 2013-2015
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
Race/
Ethnicitya
Age Average
Annual
Count
Percent Average Annual
Diagnosis Rate
per 100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
All races All ages 226.0 100.0%14.4 12.5 - 16.3
0-4 0.0 0.0%****
5-12 0.0 0.0%****
13-19 6.0 2.7%4.3 2.6 - 6.9
20-24 32.3 14.3%28.3 23.0 - 34.6
25-29 42.7 18.9%38.3 26.8 - 49.9
30-39 53.0 23.5%23.2 16.9 - 29.4
40-49 47.7 21.1%21.2 15.2 - 27.2
50 & over 44.3 19.6%8.9 6.3 - 11.6
AfrAmer All ages 86.7 38.3%49.1 38.8 - 59.5
0-4 0.0 0.0%****
5-12 0.0 0.0%****
13-19 4.0 1.8%23.5 12.1 - 41.0
20-24 15.3 6.8%123.4 90.3 - 164.6
25-29 16.7 7.4%147.4 109.4 - 194.4
30-39 18.7 8.3%80.7 60.9 - 104.7
40-49 13.3 5.9%51.7 36.9 - 70.4
50 & over 18.7 8.3%31.1 23.5 - 40.4
White All ages 56.3 24.9%10.9 8.0 - 13.7
0-4 ****
5-12 0.0 0.0%****
13-19 ****
20-24 5.3 2.4%17.1 9.8 - 27.8
25-29 9.0 4.0%28.2 18.6 - 41.0
30-39 11.3 5.0%17.8 12.3 - 24.9
40-49 15.7 6.9%20.2 14.9 - 26.9
50 & over 14.7 6.5%6.5 4.7 - 8.7
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 20
New Diagnoses
Table 2.4: HIV Diagnosis Rates by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, 2013-2015 (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
Race/
Ethnicitya
Age Average
Annual
Count
Percent Average Annual
Diagnosis Rate
per 100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
Latino All ages 52.0 23.0%14.4 10.5 - 18.3
0-4 ****
5-12 0.0 0.0%****
13-19 ****
20-24 6.7 2.9%20.5 12.5 - 31.7
25-29 12.3 5.5%38.3 27.0 - 52.8
30-39 13.0 5.8%21.1 15.0 - 28.8
40-49 12.7 5.6%27.1 19.2 - 37.2
50 & over 6.0 2.7%9.6 5.7 - 15.2
API All ages 24.7 10.9%5.6 4.4 - 7.1
0-4 0.0 0.0%****
5-12 0.0 0.0%****
13-19 ****
20-24 ****
25-29 ****
30-39 ****
40-49 ****
50 & over 3.0 1.3%****
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 21
New Diagnoses
Table 2.4: HIV Diagnosis Rates by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, 2013-2015 (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
Race/
Ethnicitya
Age Average
Annual
Count
Percent Average Annual
Diagnosis Rate
per 100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
Other/Unk All ages 6.3 2.8%----
0-4 0.0 0.0%----
5-12 0.0 0.0%----
13-19 0.0 0.0%----
20-24 **----
25-29 **----
30-39 **----
40-49 **----
50 & over 2.0 0.9%----
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
[--]Rate not calculable for lack of a denominator.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 22
New Diagnoses
Table 2.5: Late Diagnosis by Sex and Age, Alameda County, 2012-2014
All Diagnoses late_dx
Sexa Age at
Diagnosis
Average
Annual
Count
Column Percent Average
Annual
Count
Row Percent
All All ages 217.0 100.0%78.0 35.9%
5-12 **0.0 *
13-19 **2.3 *
20-24 31.3 14.4%7.3 23.4%
25-29 36.0 16.6%11.3 31.5%
30-39 49.7 22.9%17.0 34.2%
40-49 55.0 25.3%24.0 43.6%
50 & over 37.0 17.1%16.0 43.2%
Male All ages 187.7 86.5%69.0 36.8%
5-12 **0.0 *
13-19 **2.0 *
20-24 29.7 13.7%7.0 23.6%
25-29 32.3 14.9%10.3 32.0%
30-39 43.3 20.0%15.3 35.4%
40-49 47.7 22.0%21.0 44.1%
50 & over 28.7 13.2%13.3 **
Female All ages 29.3 13.5%9.0 30.7%
5-12 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
13-19 2.0 0.9%0.3 **
20-24 1.7 0.8%0.3 **
25-29 3.7 1.7%1.0 **
30-39 6.3 2.9%1.7 **
40-49 7.3 3.4%3.0 **
50 & over 8.3 3.8%2.7 **
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 23
New Diagnoses
Table 2.6: Late Diagnosis by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2012-2014
All Diagnoses late_dx
Sexa Race/
Ethnicityb
Average
Annual
Count
Column Percent Average
Annual
Count
Row Percent
All All races 217.0 100.0%78.0 35.9%
AfrAmer 84.3 38.9%29.3 34.8%
White 50.7 23.3%16.7 32.9%
Latino 50.7 23.3%20.3 40.1%
API 24.0 11.1%7.7 **
Other/Unk 7.3 3.4%4.0 **
Male All races 187.7 86.5%69.0 36.8%
AfrAmer 66.7 30.7%24.0 36.0%
White 45.7 21.0%15.3 33.6%
Latino 46.7 21.5%19.0 40.7%
API **7.7 *
Other/Unk **3.0 *
Female All races 29.3 13.5%9.0 30.7%
AfrAmer 17.7 8.1%5.3 **
White 5.0 2.3%1.3 **
Latino 4.0 1.8%1.3 **
API **0.0 *
Other/Unk **1.0 *
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 24
New Diagnoses
Table 2.7: Late Diagnosis by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, 2012-2014
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All Diagnoses late_dx
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Diagnosis
Average
Annual
Count
Column Percent Average
Annual
Count
Row Percent
All races All ages 217.0 100.0%78.0 35.9%
5-12 **0.0 *
13-19 **2.3 *
20-24 31.3 14.4%7.3 23.4%
25-29 36.0 16.6%11.3 31.5%
30-39 49.7 22.9%17.0 34.2%
40-49 55.0 25.3%24.0 43.6%
50 & over 37.0 17.1%16.0 43.2%
AfrAmer All ages 84.3 38.9%29.3 34.8%
5-12 **0.0 *
13-19 **1.0 *
20-24 14.3 6.6%3.0 **
25-29 14.0 6.5%4.7 **
30-39 18.7 8.6%5.3 **
40-49 17.7 8.1%9.7 **
50 & over 15.0 6.9%5.7 **
White All ages 50.7 23.3%16.7 32.9%
5-12 **0.0 *
13-19 **0.0 *
20-24 4.7 2.2%1.0 **
25-29 6.7 3.1%1.0 **
30-39 9.0 4.1%4.0 **
40-49 16.7 7.7%5.3 **
50 & over 13.3 6.1%5.3 **
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 25
New Diagnoses
Table 2.7: Late Diagnosis by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, 2012-2014 (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All Diagnoses late_dx
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Diagnosis
Average
Annual
Count
Column Percent Average
Annual
Count
Row Percent
Latino All ages 50.7 23.3%20.3 40.1%
5-12 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
13-19 2.0 0.9%0.7 **
20-24 6.7 3.1%2.0 **
25-29 11.0 5.1%3.7 **
30-39 12.7 5.8%4.0 **
40-49 13.0 6.0%6.7 **
50 & over 5.3 2.5%3.3 **
API All ages 24.0 11.1%7.7 **
5-12 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
13-19 **0.3 *
20-24 **1.0 *
25-29 **1.3 *
30-39 7.3 3.4%2.7 **
40-49 **1.7 *
50 & over 1.7 0.8%0.7 **
Other/Unk All ages 7.3 3.4%4.0 **
5-12 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
13-19 **0.3 *
20-24 **0.3 *
25-29 **0.7 *
30-39 2.0 0.9%1.0 **
40-49 **0.7 *
50 & over 1.7 0.8%1.0 **
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 26
People Living with HIV
3
People Living with HIV
In the United States, there were an estimated 955,081 PLHIV at the end of 2014. Prevalence was highest among
men as compared to women (555.3 vs. 169.2 PLHIV per 100,000 population), those aged 45-49 and 50-54 (729.6 and
748.8 per 100,000 respectively), African Americans and Latinos (1,025.2 and 358.3 per 100,000 respectively), and
in the northeast and south (419.5 and 352.5 per 100,000 respectively). That same year, California had an estimated
126,241 PLHIV for an overall prevalence of 327.5 per 100,000 population. HIV prevalence in women in California
(77.3 per 100,000) was half that of women nationally. [4]
This chapter examines prevalence, or the proportion of people in Alameda County with HIV infection, reflecting
the overall burden of HIV in the population. Data presented do not include those with undiagnosed infection
but include all diagnosed PLHIV, regardless of the stage of their infection, and include newly diagnosed cases.1
First, characteristics of PLHIV in the county are presented. Then the prevalence of HIV disease in different
subpopulations is described. Finally, mortality (deaths) among PLHIV ever diagnosed with AIDS is described.
Table 3.1 summarizes data presented in this chapter. Stratified prevalence rates by sex, age and race/ethnicity are
provided in tables at the end of this chapter.
1PLHIV counts exclude those that only moved to Alameda County after their diagnosis and have never seen an HIV healthcare provider in
Alameda County. The latter limitation is due to the criteria the California Department of Public Health (CDPH) uses to determine the
subset of the statewide HIV database to which local health departments have access ( [1] resided in the county at first HIV diagnosis or at
progression to Stage 3 infection (AIDS), or [2] have ever had an HIV-related laboratory result ordered by a healthcare provider in the county).
So, for example, the 5,801 persons we know of and believe to have been living with HIV in Alameda County at year-end 2014 are not all
but rather 94.7% of the 6,125 PLHIV CDPH knows of and believes to have been living here at that time (based on data reported to them
through December 31, 2015). The discrepancy in overall PLHIV counts may be offset by the fact that some of the persons believed to have
been living in the county may actually have moved out of the county as surveillance data do not reflect a person’s residence at all times with
perfect accuracy.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 27
People Living with HIV
Characteristics of PLHIV
At the end of 2015, there were an estimated 5,897 PLHIV in Alameda County.
Similar to the distribution of sex
among new diagnoses of HIV,
those living with HIV in Alameda
County at year-end 2015 were
predominantly male (82.4%).
Figure 3.1: PLHIV by Sex,
Alameda County, year-end 2015
17.6%
82.4%
Female
Male
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
Number of Cases
NOTE: “Sex” refers to sex assigned at birth.
Approximately 41% of PLHIV in
Alameda County were African
American and 32.5% were white.
Latinos and Asians and Pacific
Islanders each comprised a smaller
proportion of PLHIV.
Figure 3.2: PLHIV by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, year-end 2015
2.2%
6.4%
18.1%
32.5%
40.9%
Other/Unk
API
Latino
White
AfrAmer
0 1,000 2,000 3,000
Number of Cases
NOTE: “Other/Unk” includes American Indians, Alaskan Natives, mul-
tiracial, and unknown categories.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 28
People Living with HIV
Half of PLHIV were in their
fifties or older. Only about a
quarter were in their thirties or
younger at year-end 2015.
Figure 3.3: Age of PLHIV,
Alameda County, year-end 2015
41.0 50.0 58.0
0
250
500
750
1000
0 25 50 75 100
Age at year−end 2015
Nu
m
b
e
r
o
f
C
a
s
e
s
NOTE: The dashed lines indicate the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile
values for age among PLHIV.
Race/ethnic disparities in numbers of PLHIV were more apparent among women compared to men—while there
were approximately equal proportions of African Americans and whites among males, there were nearly four times
as many African American women compared to white women (Table 3.3).
Prevalence Rates
At the end of 2015 there were 5,897 people living with HIV in Alameda County for a prevalence rate of 372.5 per
100,000 or 0.4% of residents.
HIV prevalence was about five
times higher among males as
compared to females at year-end
2015.
Figure 3.4: Prevalence of HIV by Sex,
Alameda County, year-end 2015
372.5
625.0
128.6
Female (N=1,036)
Male (N=4,861)
All (N=5,897)
0 200 400 600 800
Rate per 100,000
NOTE: “Sex” refers to sex assigned at birth.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 29
People Living with HIV
African Americans carried over
3.5 times the burden of HIV
compared to the next most
impacted group in Alameda
County—whites. The burden of
HIV was lowest among Asians
and Pacific Islanders.
Figure 3.5: Prevalence of HIV by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, year-end 2015
372.5
1,382.2
374.0
286.9
83.1API (N=376)
Latino (N=1,066)
White (N=1,915)
AfrAmer (N=2,411)
All races (N=5,897)
0 500 1,000 1,500
Rate per 100,000
HIV prevalence was higher in
each successive age group ranging
from 18.7 per 100,000 youth aged
13-19 to a high of 871.7 per
100,000 people ages 50-59. The
number of children aged 0-12
living with HIV was too low to
estimate a statistically reliable
prevalence rate. Prevalence
among those aged 60 and over
differed only slightly from those
in their thirties. This finding is
consistent with the improved
survival of PLHIV in the ART
era.
Figure 3.6: Prevalence of HIV by Age,
Alameda County, year-end 2015
372.5
18.7
201.1
374.8
639.4
871.7
408.660 & over (N=1,189)
50−59 (N=1,932)
40−49 (N=1,437)
30−39 (N=851)
20−29 (N=455)
13−19 (N=26)
All ages (N=5,897)
0 250 500 750 1,000
Rate per 100,000
The disparity in prevalence rates by race was more pronounced among females compared to males. While preva-
lence was about 3 times higher among African American males compared to white males, it was more than 10 times
higher among African American females compared to white females (see Table 3.3). Additionally, although HIV
prevalence was higher among white males than Latino males, this was not the case among females.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 30
People Living with HIV
Oakland had the highest HIV
prevalence within Alameda
County followed by the central
county region.
Figure 3.7: Prevalence of HIV by Census Tract of Residence,
Alameda County, year-end 2015
Countywide prevalence: 372.5 per 100,000
Contra Costa
San Joaquin
San Mateo
Santa Clara
Fremont
Sunol
Oakland
Hayward
Livermore
Dublin
Pleasanton
Union City
Newark
Berkeley
San Leandro
Alameda
Castro Valley
Fairview
Alameda
Albany
San Lorenzo
Ashland
Piedmont
Emeryville
Cherryland
0 5 102.5 Miles±
San Francisco Bay
Prevalence (per 100,000)
< 10 cases
139.8 - 360.0
360.1 - 570.0
570.1 - 840.0
840.1 - 1260.0
1260.1 - 2285.0
NOTE: N=4,990; an additional 761 PLHIV (13.23% of all) are not repre-
sented due to incomplete street address.
THe North and West Oakland,
Downtown, Chinatown, and San
Antonio neighborhoods had the
highest HIV prevalence rate,
ranging from 1-2% of residents.
Figure 3.8: Prevalence of HIV by Census Tract of Residence,
Oakland and Surrounding Area, year-end 2015
Contra Costa
Oakland
Berkeley
San Leandro
Alameda
Castro Valley
Alameda
Albany
Ashland
Piedmont
Emeryville
Elmhurst
Lower Hills
Southeast Hills
West Oakland
Fruitvale
Central East Oakland
North Oakland
San Antonio
Northwest Hills
Downtownand Chinatown
San Francisco
0 1.5 30.75 Miles
±Prevalence (per 100,000)
< 10 cases
139.8 - 360.0
360.1 - 570.0
570.1 - 840.0
840.1 - 1260.0
1260.1 - 2285.0
Oaklandneighborhoods
Cities
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 31
People Living with HIV
Deaths Among Alameda County Residents Ever Diagnosed with AIDS
Although HIV without AIDS has only been reportable by name in California since 2006, AIDS has been a re-
portable disease since the early 1980s allowing examination of long-term trends in death rates among the subset of
PLHIV ever diagnosed with AIDS. In 1985, there were 38.7 deaths (from any cause, whether HIV-related or not)
per 100 Alameda County residents ever diagnosed with AIDS. This rate dropped to 7.5 deaths per 100 by 1997 and
has declined slowly, but steadily since then. In 2013, there were 57 deaths among the 3,755 residents ever diagnosed
with AIDS for a rate of 1.47 deaths per 100 residents.
Figure 3.9: Death Rate among Alameda County Residents Ever Diagnosed with AIDS,
1985-2013
10
20
30
40
50
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
De
a
t
h
s
p
e
r
1
0
0
NOTE: Death rates calculated among persons ever diagnosed with AIDS while a resident of Alameda County,
regardless of county of residence at death. Deaths in PLHIV without AIDS are not reported here.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 32
People Living with HIV
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6
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%
40
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38
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.
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1
.
8
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 33
People Living with HIV
Ta
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28
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:
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,
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Q2
[a]
Re
f
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r
s
to
se
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as
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at
bi
r
t
h
[b]
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=
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]
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]
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of
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.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 34
People Living with HIV
Table 3.2: HIV Prevalence by Sex and Age, Alameda County, Year-End 2015
Sexa Age Count Percent Prevalence per
100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
All All ages 5,897 100.0%372.5 363.0 - 382.0
0-12 7 0.1%****
13-19 26 0.4%18.7 12.2 - 27.4
20-29 455 7.7%201.1 182.6 - 219.6
30-39 851 14.4%374.8 349.6 - 399.9
40-49 1,437 24.4%639.4 606.4 - 672.5
50-59 1,932 32.8%871.7 832.9 - 910.6
60 & over 1,189 20.2%408.6 385.4 - 431.8
Male All ages 4,861 82.4%625.0 607.5 - 642.6
0-12 ****
13-19 ****
20-29 400 6.8%349.8 315.5 - 384.0
30-39 695 11.8%623.9 577.5 - 670.3
40-49 1,149 19.5%1,031.2 971.6 - 1,090.8
50-59 1,617 27.4%1,489.7 1,417.1 - 1,562.3
60 & over 978 16.6%746.9 700.1 - 793.8
Female All ages 1,036 17.6%128.6 120.8 - 136.5
0-12 ****
13-19 ****
20-29 55 0.9%49.1 37.0 - 64.0
30-39 156 2.6%134.9 113.7 - 156.0
40-49 288 4.9%254.2 224.8 - 283.5
50-59 315 5.3%278.6 247.8 - 309.3
60 & over 211 3.6%131.8 114.0 - 149.6
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]Refersto sex assigned at birth
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 35
People Living with HIV
Table 3.3: HIV Prevalence by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, Year-End 2015
Sexa Race/
Ethnicityb Count Percent Prevalence per
100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
All All races 5,897 100.0%372.5 363.0 - 382.0
AfrAmer 2,411 40.9%1,382.2 1,327.0 - 1,437.4
White 1,915 32.5%374.0 357.3 - 390.8
Latino 1,066 18.1%286.9 269.7 - 304.1
API 376 6.4%83.1 74.7 - 91.5
Other/Unk 129 2.2%----
Male All races 4,861 82.4%625.0 607.5 - 642.6
AfrAmer 1,763 29.9%2,151.4 2,051.0 - 2,251.8
White 1,746 29.6%685.2 653.1 - 717.4
Latino 926 15.7%489.7 458.2 - 521.2
API 316 5.4%146.0 129.9 - 162.1
Other/Unk 110 1.9%----
Female All races 1,036 17.6%128.6 120.8 - 136.5
AfrAmer 648 11.0%700.7 646.7 - 754.6
White 169 2.9%65.7 55.8 - 75.6
Latino 140 2.4%76.7 64.0 - 89.4
API 60 1.0%25.4 19.4 - 32.7
Other/Unk 19 0.3%----
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]Refersto sex assigned at birth
[b]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[--]Rate not calculable forlack of a denominator.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 36
People Living with HIV
Table 3.4: HIV Prevalence by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, Year-End 2015
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
Race/
Ethnicitya
Age Count Percent Prevalence per
100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
All races All ages 5,897 100.0%372.5 363.0 - 382.0
0-12 7 0.1%****
13-19 26 0.4%18.7 12.2 - 27.4
20-29 455 7.7%201.1 182.6 - 219.6
30-39 851 14.4%374.8 349.6 - 399.9
40-49 1,437 24.4%639.4 606.4 - 672.5
50-59 1,932 32.8%871.7 832.9 - 910.6
60 & over 1,189 20.2%408.6 385.4 - 431.8
AfrAmer All ages 2,411 40.9%1,382.2 1,327.0 - 1,437.4
0-12 5 0.1%****
13-19 17 0.3%101.3 59.0 - 162.1
20-29 203 3.4%863.4 744.6 - 982.1
30-39 346 5.9%1,562.6 1,398.0 - 1,727.3
40-49 554 9.4%2,202.1 2,018.7 - 2,385.5
50-59 795 13.5%2,934.4 2,730.4 - 3,138.4
60 & over 491 8.3%1,420.3 1,294.6 - 1,545.9
White All ages 1,915 32.5%374.0 357.3 - 390.8
0-12 ****
13-19 ****
20-29 83 1.4%132.1 105.2 - 163.8
30-39 184 3.1%304.8 260.8 - 348.9
40-49 396 6.7%530.5 478.2 - 582.7
50-59 750 12.7%806.8 749.0 - 864.5
60 & over 498 8.4%360.4 328.8 - 392.1
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 37
People Living with HIV
Table 3.4: HIV Prevalence by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda County, Year-End 2015 (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
Race/
Ethnicitya
Age Count Percent Prevalence per
100,000
95%
Confidence
Interval
Latino All ages 1,066 18.1%286.9 269.7 - 304.1
0-12 ****
13-19 ****
20-29 116 2.0%177.2 145.0 - 209.5
30-39 215 3.6%340.0 294.5 - 385.4
40-49 330 5.6%681.3 607.8 - 754.9
50-59 267 4.5%818.3 720.2 - 916.5
60 & over 132 2.2%405.9 336.6 - 475.1
API All ages 376 6.4%83.1 74.7 - 91.5
0-12 ****
13-19 ****
20-29 36 0.6%57.2 40.1 - 79.2
30-39 83 1.4%114.3 91.0 - 141.7
40-49 116 2.0%168.2 137.6 - 198.8
50-59 90 1.5%143.8 115.6 - 176.8
60 & over 50 0.8%63.2 46.9 - 83.3
Other/Unk All ages 129 2.2%----
0-12 0 0.0%----
13-19 0 0.0%----
20-29 17 0.3%----
30-39 23 0.4%----
40-49 41 0.7%----
50-59 30 0.5%----
60 & over 18 0.3%----
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
[a]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
[--]Rate not calculable for lack of a denominator.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 38
The Continuum of HIV Care
4
The Continuum of HIV Care
Anti-retroviral therapy (ART), when taken regularly, can suppress HIV, limiting the damage done by the virus to
the immune system as well as lowering the likelihood of ongoing transmission. ART thus benefits both PLHIV as
well as the larger community. In order to maximize these benefits, it is crucial that PLHIV be diagnosed, linked
to and retained in regular HIV care, and be prescribed and take ART. These steps—diagnosis, linkage, retention,
and prescription to and adherence to ART—are all pre-requisites for achieving virologic suppression. Together,
these steps comprise the continuum of HIV care, also called the HIV care cascade or the stages of HIV care. The
continuum has gained enormous popularity as a framework for conceptualizing HIV care and prevention efforts.
In the United States, the CDC estimated that 84.0% of persons diagnosed in 2014 linked to care within 3 months.1
Additionally, CDC estimated that, at the end of 2013, 87.0% of all PLHIV had been diagnosed and that, among
those still alive and who had been diagnosed by the end of the previous year, 70.9% received any HIV care, 56.5%
were retained in continuous care, and 54.7% were virally suppressed.
In California, 81.8% of those diagnosed in 2014 were estimated to have linked to care within 3 months. By the
end of 2013, 90.3% of PLHIV were believed to have been diagnosed and, among those still alive and who had been
diagnosed by the end of the previous year, 71.1% of were estimated to have received any HIV care in 2013, 55.9%
were estimated to have been retained in continuous care, and 55.6% were estimated to have been virally suppressed
at last test.2 [5]
1Among those aged 13 or older at diagnosis in the 33 jurisdictions with complete laboratory reporting.
2Data on receipt of HIV medical care and viral suppression are based on data for PLHIV aged 13 or older, diagnosed by year-end 2012, alive at
year-end 2013, and residing in the 33 jurisdictions with complete laboratory reporting. CD4 or viral load tests ordered in 2013 were used as
markers of HIV care. Retention in continuous care is defined 2 or more CD4 or viral load tests at least 3 months apart and viral suppression
is defined as last viral load in 2013 <200 copies/mL.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 39
The Continuum of HIV Care
The Overall Continuum of Care
In Alameda County, between 75.1% and 85.2% of new diagnoses between 2012 and 2014 were linked to care within
3 months, depending on whether HIV-related labs ordered on the date of diagnosis were included as a marker of
linkage. Approximately 59.6% of PLHIV in Alameda County for the entirety of 2014 had 2 or more visits 90 or
more days apart that year and so were considered retained in care. Viral suppression was estimated to be 4.6%
higher (64.2%) that same year.
Figure 4.1: The Continuum of HIV Care in Alameda CountyThe Continuum of HIV Care in Alameda County
Among N=634
new diagnoses
in 2012‐2014*
Among N=,
PLHIV in Alameda Co.
for the entirety of 2014**
100%
Incl. labs at dx 1+ visit
Excl. labs at dx 2+ visits 90+ days apart
64.2%
85.2%
75.9%75.1%
60%
80%
59.
20%
40%
0%
Linked Retained Virally Suppressed
*Of 651 total diagnoses, 17 died within 90 days and are excluded from analysis
**Of 5,662 PLHIV at year‐end 2013, 62 are known to have died and an additional 227 to have moved out of Alameda County in 2014
1) Linkage defined as having a reported CD4 or VL ordered within 90 days or less of diagnosis; 2) Retention calculated using labs ordered
in 2013; 3) Viral suppression defined as most recent VL in 2013 < 200 copies/mL
* Of 651 total diagnoses, 17 died within 90 days and were excluded from analysis
** Of 5,662 PLHIV at year-end 2013, 62 were known to have died and an additional 227 to have moved out of
Alameda County in 2014
This chapter presents data on select measures along the continuum of HIV including estimates stratified by demo-
graphics. Data on ART use were not available for analysis. Stratified analysis of measures along the continuum
(linkage, retention, and virologic status) are presented in Tables 4.1-4.15 at the end of this chapter. Note that ap-
parent differences should be interpreted with caution due to the small numbers in some subgroups and resulting
statistical instability.
Linkage to Care
Here we present linkage to care estimates for Alameda County. It should be noted that receipt of a CD4 count or
viral load test is not always a definitive indicator of linkage to care. For example, a health care provider may order
these tests concurrently with a confirmatory test or a patient may not return for the test results. Labs ordered
after the date of diagnosis provide an alternative method for estimating linkage to care. We present both estimates
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 40
The Continuum of HIV Care
of linkage—one that includes labs done on the date of diagnosis and another that excludes them—providing what
might be considered upper and lower bounds on the proportion linked. Patients who died within 90 days of
diagnosis were not included (N=17).
The median time from diagnosis
to first CD4 or viral load among
Alameda County residents
diagnosed in 2012-2014 was 5.5
days. Excluding labs ordered on
the date of diagnosis, the median
time from diagnosis was 13.5
days.
Figure 4.2: Days Between Diagnosis and First CD4 or Viral Load,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
90−day target
for timely linkage
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360
Days post−diagnosis
Cu
m
u
l
a
t
i
v
e
p
e
r
c
e
n
t
l
i
n
k
e
d
Excl. labs at dx Incl. labs at dx
Overall, just over 85% of those
diagnosed with HIV in Alameda
County from 2012 to 2014 were
linked to HIV care within 90 days
of their diagnosis. Excluding labs
ordered on date of diagnosis,
about 75% of newly diagnosed
cases were linked. Differences by
sex assigned at birth were not
statistically significant.
Figure 4.3: Linkage to HIV Care within 90 Days of Diagnosis by Sex,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
87.4%
82.8%
84.8%
73.9%
85.2%
75.1%
Female (N=87)
Male (N=547)
All (N=634)
0%25%50%75%100%
Percent linked in 90 days or less
Excl. labs at dx Incl. labs at dx
NOTE: “Sex” refers to sex assigned at birth.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 41
The Continuum of HIV Care
Timely linkage to HIV care by
race/ethnicity was highest among
Asians and Pacific Islanders and
lowest among African Americans.
Differences by race/ethnicity
were not statistically significant.
Figure 4.4: Linkage to HIV Care within 90 Days of Diagnosis by
Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2012-2014
88.9%
80.6%
87.8%
76.4%
85.8%
75.7%
82.7%
72.3%
85.2%
75.1%
API (N=72)
Latino (N=148)
White (N=148)
AfrAmer (N=249)
All races (N=634)
0%25%50%75%100%
Percent linked in 90 days or less
Excl. labs at dx Incl. labs at dx
Linkage was generally higher at
the extremes of the age spectrum
and lower among those in their
thirties and forties. Differences by
age group were not statistically sig-
nificant.
Figure 4.5: Linkage to HIV Care within 90 Days of Diagnosis by Age,
Alameda County, 2012-2014
87.5%
79.2%
87.3%
75.9%
83.8%
71.9%
81.6%
74.8%
86.6%
75.1%
95.5%
90.9%
85.2%
75.1%
60 & over (N=24)
50−59 (N=79)
40−49 (N=160)
30−39 (N=147)
20−29 (N=201)
13−19 (N=22)
All ages (N=634)
0%25%50%75%100%
Percent linked in 90 days or less
Excl. labs at dx Incl. labs at dx
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 42
The Continuum of HIV Care
Retention in Care
In 2014, 75.9% of PLHIV1 had one or more visits to an HIV care provider. About 15% of all PLHIV had only a
single visit; however, it is possible that some had additional visits, but no lab tests were ordered.
Figure 4.6: Number of HIV Care Visits per PLHIV in 2014,
Alameda County
2.4%
3.7%
12.0%
22.3%
22.7%
12.8%
24.1%
6+
5
4
3
2
1
None
0 500 1,000 1,500
Number of PLHIV
Nu
m
b
e
r
o
f
v
i
s
i
t
s
In 2014, 59.6% of PLHIV had two
or more visits 90 days or more
apart. Differences by sex were not
statistically significant.
Figure 4.7: Retention in HIV Care by Sex,
Alameda County, 2014
58.8%
59.8%
59.6%
Female (N=957)
Male (N=4,416)
All (N=5,373)
0%20%40%60%80%
Percent with 2+ visits 90+ days apart in 2014
NOTE: “Sex” refers to sex assigned at birth.
1PLHIV that died or moved in 2014 were excluded from all analysis of retention in care.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 43
The Continuum of HIV Care
Asian and Pacific Islander PLHIV
had the highest rates of retention
in HIV care in 2014, followed by
whites. Only about 55% of Latino
PLHIV were retained in care.
Figure 4.8: Retention in HIV Care by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2014
64.8%
55.1%
61.0%
59.4%
59.6%
API (N=318)
Latino (N=940)
White (N=1,771)
AfrAmer (N=2,221)
All races (N=5,373)
0%20%40%60%80%
Percent with 2+ visits 90+ days apart in 2014
PLHIV aged 30-39 at year-end
2014 had the lowest rates of reten-
tion in care; successively younger
and successively older age groups
had higher rates. Retention was
highest among those ages 13-19
and 60 and over; however the
number of PLHIV aged 13-19 was
small. The general trend of higher
retention in older age groups was
statisticaly significant.
Figure 4.9: Retention in HIV Care by Age,
Alameda County, 2014
64.6%
64.3%
57.4%
50.1%
54.2%
77.8%
59.6%
60 & over (N=950)
50−59 (N=1,674)
40−49 (N=1,550)
30−39 (N=776)
20−29 (N=395)
13−19 (N=18)
All ages (N=5,373)
0%25%50%75%100%
Percent with 2+ visits 90+ days apart in 2014
Virologic Status
The final measure along the care continuum is virologic suppression, defined as a viral load under 200 copies per
ml. For the purposes of these analyses, an undetectable viral load is defined as 75 copies per ml or less. PLHIV
that died or moved in 2014 were excluded. Disparities in virologic suppression among PLHIV in care can suggest
potential differences in ART use or effectiveness.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 44
The Continuum of HIV Care
Approximately 64% of PLHIV
were virally suppressed at their
most recent test in 2014, with the
majority being undetectable.
Virologic suppression was about
3% lower among female PLHIV
compared to male PLHIV, but
this difference was not statistically
significant. Among those in care,
viral suppression was higher
among males than females (Table
4.13).
Figure 4.10: Virologic Status by Sex,
Alameda County, 2014
Female (N=957)
Male (N=4,416)
All (N=5,373)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Undetectable Suppressed Unsuppressed
Only CD4 reported No CD4s or VLs reported
NOTE: “Sex” refers to sex assigned at birth.
In 2014, almost 70% of white and
Asian and Pacific Islander PLHIV
were virally suppressed. Viral
suppression was about 10% lower
in all other racial/ethnic groups.
Similar disparities were seen
among those in care (Table 4.14).
Figure 4.11: Virologic Status by Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County, 2014
API (N=318)
Latino (N=940)
White (N=1,771)
AfrAmer (N=2,221)
All races (N=5,373)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Undetectable Suppressed Unsuppressed
Only CD4 reported No CD4s or VLs reported
Viral suppression rates generally
increased as age increased, ranging
from about 54% among those ages
20-29 to 70% among those ages 60
and over. A similar pattern was
seen among those in care (Table
4.15).
Figure 4.12: Virologic Status by Age,
Alameda County, 2014
60 & over (N=950)
50−59 (N=1,674)
40−49 (N=1,550)
30−39 (N=776)
20−29 (N=395)
13−19 (N=18)
All ages (N=5,373)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Undetectable Suppressed Unsuppressed
Only CD4 reported No CD4s or VLs reported
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 45
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.1: Timely Linkage to HIV Care Among New Diagnoses by Sex and Age, Alameda County,
2012-2014
All Diagnoses linked90_inclDxDt
Sexa Age at
Diagnosis
Average
Annual
Count
Column Percent Average
Annual
Count
Row Percent
All All ages 211.3 100.0%180.0 85.2%
5-12 **0.3 *
13-19 **7.0 *
20-24 31.3 14.8%28.0 **
25-29 35.7 16.9%30.0 84.1%
30-39 49.0 23.2%40.0 81.6%
40-49 53.3 25.2%44.7 83.8%
50 & over 34.3 16.2%30.0 87.4%
Male All ages 182.3 86.3%154.7 84.8%
5-12 **0.3 *
13-19 **5.3 *
20-24 29.7 14.0%26.3 **
25-29 32.0 15.1%26.7 83.3%
30-39 42.7 20.2%35.0 82.0%
40-49 46.0 21.8%39.0 84.8%
50 & over 26.3 12.5%22.0 83.5%
Female All ages 29.0 13.7%25.3 87.4%
5-12 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
13-19 2.0 0.9%1.7 **
20-24 1.7 0.8%1.7 100.0%
25-29 3.7 1.7%3.3 **
30-39 6.3 3.0%5.0 **
40-49 7.3 3.5%5.7 **
50 & over 8.0 3.8%8.0 100.0%
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes N=17 persons who died within 90 days of diagnosis.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 46
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.2: Timely Linkage to HIV Care Among New Diagnoses by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda
County, 2012-2014
All Diagnoses linked90_inclDxDt
Sexa Race/
Ethnicityb
Average
Annual
Count
Column Percent Average
Annual
Count
Row Percent
All All races 211.3 100.0%180.0 85.2%
AfrAmer 83.0 39.3%68.7 82.7%
White 49.3 23.3%42.3 85.8%
Latino 49.3 23.3%43.3 87.8%
API 24.0 11.4%21.3 **
Other/Unk 5.7 2.7%4.3 **
Male All races 182.3 86.3%154.7 84.8%
AfrAmer 65.3 30.9%53.3 81.6%
White 44.3 21.0%37.7 85.0%
Latino 45.3 21.5%40.0 88.2%
API **20.0 *
Other/Unk **3.7 *
Female All races 29.0 13.7%25.3 87.4%
AfrAmer 17.7 8.4%15.3 **
White 5.0 2.4%4.7 **
Latino 4.0 1.9%3.3 **
API **1.3 *
Other/Unk **0.7 *
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes N=17 persons who died within 90 days of diagnosis.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 47
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.3: Timely Linkage to HIV Care Among New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda
County, 2012-2014
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All Diagnoses linked90_inclDxDt
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Diagnosis
Average
Annual
Count
Column Percent Average
Annual
Count
Row Percent
All races All ages 211.3 100.0%180.0 85.2%
5-12 **0.3 *
13-19 **7.0 *
20-24 31.3 14.8%28.0 **
25-29 35.7 16.9%30.0 84.1%
30-39 49.0 23.2%40.0 81.6%
40-49 53.3 25.2%44.7 83.8%
50 & over 34.3 16.2%30.0 87.4%
AfrAmer All ages 83.0 39.3%68.7 82.7%
5-12 **0.3 *
13-19 **4.0 *
20-24 14.3 6.8%12.3 **
25-29 14.0 6.6%11.7 **
30-39 18.3 8.7%14.0 **
40-49 17.7 8.4%15.0 **
50 & over 14.0 6.6%11.3 **
White All ages 49.3 23.3%42.3 85.8%
5-12 **0.0 *
13-19 **0.3 *
20-24 4.7 2.2%4.7 100.0%
25-29 6.7 3.2%6.3 **
30-39 9.0 4.3%6.3 **
40-49 16.0 7.6%13.3 **
50 & over 12.7 6.0%11.3 **
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 48
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.3: Timely Linkage to HIV Care Among New Diagnoses by Race/Ethnicity and Age, Alameda
County, 2012-2014 (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All Diagnoses linked90_inclDxDt
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Diagnosis
Average
Annual
Count
Column Percent Average
Annual
Count
Row Percent
Latino All ages 49.3 23.3%43.3 87.8%
5-12 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
13-19 2.0 0.9%2.0 100.0%
20-24 6.7 3.2%6.0 **
25-29 10.7 5.0%8.0 **
30-39 12.7 6.0%11.7 **
40-49 12.3 5.8%10.7 **
50 & over 5.0 2.4%5.0 100.0%
API All ages 24.0 11.4%21.3 **
5-12 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
13-19 **0.7 *
20-24 **4.0 *
25-29 **3.3 *
30-39 7.3 3.5%6.3 **
40-49 **5.3 *
50 & over **1.7 *
Other/Unk All ages 5.7 2.7%4.3 **
5-12 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
13-19 0.0 0.0%0.0 **
20-24 **1.0 *
25-29 **0.7 *
30-39 1.7 0.8%1.7 100.0%
40-49 **0.3 *
50 & over **0.7 *
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes N=17 persons who died within 90 days of diagnosis.
[a]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 49
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.4: Engagement in HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Age, Alameda
County
All PLHIV 1+ Visits in 2014b
Sexa Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All All ages 5,373 100.0%4,079 75.9%
0-12 10 0.2%8 **
13-19 18 0.3%16 **
20-29 395 7.4%304 77.0%
30-39 776 14.4%560 72.2%
40-49 1,550 28.8%1,165 75.2%
50-59 1,674 31.2%1,306 78.0%
60 & over 950 17.7%720 75.8%
Male All ages 4,416 82.2%3,345 75.7%
0-12 **5 *
13-19 **6 *
20-29 342 6.4%263 76.9%
30-39 603 11.2%437 72.5%
40-49 1,255 23.4%933 74.3%
50-59 1,416 26.4%1,101 77.8%
60 & over 787 14.6%600 76.2%
Female All ages 957 17.8%734 76.7%
0-12 **3 *
13-19 **10 *
20-29 53 1.0%41 **
30-39 173 3.2%123 71.1%
40-49 295 5.5%232 78.6%
50-59 258 4.8%205 79.5%
60 & over 163 3.0%120 73.6%
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]Reported HIV viral load and CD4 laboratory tests results taken as markers of HIV medical care visits.
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 50
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.5: Engagement in HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County
All PLHIV 1+ Visits in 2014c
Sexa Race/
Ethnicityb
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All All races 5,373 100.0%4,079 75.9%
AfrAmer 2,221 41.3%1,678 75.6%
White 1,771 33.0%1,364 77.0%
Latino 940 17.5%687 73.1%
API 318 5.9%245 77.0%
Other/Unk 123 2.3%105 85.4%
Male All races 4,416 82.2%3,345 75.7%
AfrAmer 1,616 30.1%1,218 75.4%
White 1,618 30.1%1,241 76.7%
Latino 814 15.1%598 73.5%
API 263 4.9%198 75.3%
Other/Unk 105 2.0%90 85.7%
Female All races 957 17.8%734 76.7%
AfrAmer 605 11.3%460 76.0%
White 153 2.8%123 80.4%
Latino 126 2.3%89 70.6%
API 55 1.0%47 **
Other/Unk 18 0.3%15 **
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[c]Reported HIV viral load and CD4 laboratorytests results taken as markers of HIV medical care visits.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 51
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.6: Engagement in HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity and Age,
Alameda County
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV 1+ Visits in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya
Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All races All ages 5,373 100.0%4,079 75.9%
0-12 10 0.2%8 **
13-19 18 0.3%16 **
20-29 395 7.4%304 77.0%
30-39 776 14.4%560 72.2%
40-49 1,550 28.8%1,165 75.2%
50-59 1,674 31.2%1,306 78.0%
60 & over 950 17.7%720 75.8%
AfrAmer All ages 2,221 41.3%1,678 75.6%
0-12 7 0.1%6 **
13-19 11 0.2%9 **
20-29 186 3.5%151 81.2%
30-39 327 6.1%236 72.2%
40-49 604 11.2%456 75.5%
50-59 683 12.7%531 77.7%
60 & over 403 7.5%289 71.7%
White All ages 1,771 33.0%1,364 77.0%
0-12 **1 *
13-19 **2 *
20-29 58 1.1%45 **
30-39 155 2.9%109 70.3%
40-49 474 8.8%359 75.7%
50-59 678 12.6%534 78.8%
60 & over 402 7.5%314 78.1%
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 52
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.6: Engagement in HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity and Age,
Alameda County (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV 1+ Visits in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya
Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
Latino All ages 940 17.5%687 73.1%
0-12 **1 *
13-19 **4 *
20-29 103 1.9%75 72.8%
30-39 201 3.7%139 69.2%
40-49 316 5.9%226 71.5%
50-59 225 4.2%172 76.4%
60 & over 90 1.7%70 77.8%
API All ages 318 5.9%245 77.0%
0-12 **0 *
13-19 **1 *
20-29 31 0.6%19 **
30-39 63 1.2%52 82.5%
40-49 122 2.3%93 76.2%
50-59 62 1.2%48 **
60 & over 39 0.7%32 **
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 53
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.6: Engagement in HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity and Age,
Alameda County (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV 1+ Visits in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya
Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
Other/Unk All ages 123 2.3%105 85.4%
0-12 0 0.0%0 **
13-19 0 0.0%0 **
20-29 17 0.3%14 **
30-39 30 0.6%24 **
40-49 34 0.6%31 **
50-59 26 0.5%21 **
60 & over 16 0.3%15 **
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[b]Reported HIV viral load and CD4 laboratory tests results taken as markers of HIV medical care visits.
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 54
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.7: Retention in Continuous HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Age,
Alameda County
All PLHIV 2+ Visits 90+
Days Apart in 2014b
Sexa Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All All ages 5,373 100.0%3,204 59.6%
0-12 10 0.2%8 **
13-19 18 0.3%14 **
20-29 395 7.4%214 54.2%
30-39 776 14.4%389 50.1%
40-49 1,550 28.8%889 57.4%
50-59 1,674 31.2%1,076 64.3%
60 & over 950 17.7%614 64.6%
Male All ages 4,416 82.2%2,641 59.8%
0-12 **5 *
13-19 **5 *
20-29 342 6.4%187 54.7%
30-39 603 11.2%302 50.1%
40-49 1,255 23.4%715 57.0%
50-59 1,416 26.4%910 64.3%
60 & over 787 14.6%517 65.7%
Female All ages 957 17.8%563 58.8%
0-12 **3 *
13-19 **9 *
20-29 53 1.0%27 **
30-39 173 3.2%87 50.3%
40-49 295 5.5%174 59.0%
50-59 258 4.8%166 64.3%
60 & over 163 3.0%97 59.5%
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]Reported HIV viral load and CD4 laboratory tests results taken as markers of HIV medical care visits.
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 55
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.8: Retention in Continuous HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and
Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County
All PLHIV 2+ Visits 90+
Days Apart in 2014c
Sexa Race/
Ethnicityb
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All All races 5,373 100.0%3,204 59.6%
AfrAmer 2,221 41.3%1,320 59.4%
White 1,771 33.0%1,080 61.0%
Latino 940 17.5%518 55.1%
API 318 5.9%206 64.8%
Other/Unk 123 2.3%80 65.0%
Male All races 4,416 82.2%2,641 59.8%
AfrAmer 1,616 30.1%964 59.7%
White 1,618 30.1%987 61.0%
Latino 814 15.1%451 55.4%
API 263 4.9%168 63.9%
Other/Unk 105 2.0%71 67.6%
Female All races 957 17.8%563 58.8%
AfrAmer 605 11.3%356 58.8%
White 153 2.8%93 60.8%
Latino 126 2.3%67 53.2%
API 55 1.0%38 **
Other/Unk 18 0.3%9 **
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[c]Reported HIV viral load and CD4 laboratorytests results taken as markers of HIV medical care visits.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 56
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.9: Retention in Continuous HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity
and Age, Alameda County
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV 2+ Visits 90+
Days Apart in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All races All ages 5,373 100.0%3,204 59.6%
0-12 10 0.2%8 **
13-19 18 0.3%14 **
20-29 395 7.4%214 54.2%
30-39 776 14.4%389 50.1%
40-49 1,550 28.8%889 57.4%
50-59 1,674 31.2%1,076 64.3%
60 & over 950 17.7%614 64.6%
AfrAmer All ages 2,221 41.3%1,320 59.4%
0-12 7 0.1%6 **
13-19 11 0.2%7 **
20-29 186 3.5%104 55.9%
30-39 327 6.1%172 52.6%
40-49 604 11.2%351 58.1%
50-59 683 12.7%442 64.7%
60 & over 403 7.5%238 59.1%
White All ages 1,771 33.0%1,080 61.0%
0-12 **1 *
13-19 **2 *
20-29 58 1.1%31 **
30-39 155 2.9%69 44.5%
40-49 474 8.8%275 58.0%
50-59 678 12.6%429 63.3%
60 & over 402 7.5%273 67.9%
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 57
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.9: Retention in Continuous HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity
and Age, Alameda County (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV 2+ Visits 90+
Days Apart in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
Latino All ages 940 17.5%518 55.1%
0-12 **1 *
13-19 **4 *
20-29 103 1.9%54 52.4%
30-39 201 3.7%92 45.8%
40-49 316 5.9%167 52.8%
50-59 225 4.2%143 63.6%
60 & over 90 1.7%57 63.3%
API All ages 318 5.9%206 64.8%
0-12 **0 *
13-19 **1 *
20-29 31 0.6%16 **
30-39 63 1.2%41 **
40-49 122 2.3%71 58.2%
50-59 62 1.2%45 **
60 & over 39 0.7%32 **
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 58
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.9: Retention in Continuous HIV Care in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity
and Age, Alameda County (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV 2+ Visits 90+
Days Apart in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
Other/Unk All ages 123 2.3%80 65.0%
0-12 0 0.0%0 **
13-19 0 0.0%0 **
20-29 17 0.3%9 **
30-39 30 0.6%15 **
40-49 34 0.6%25 **
50-59 26 0.5%17 **
60 & over 16 0.3%14 **
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[b]Reported HIV viral load and CD4 laboratory tests results taken as markers of HIV medical care visits.
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 59
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.10: Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Age, Alameda County
All PLHIV Suppressed at Last Viral Load
in 2014b
Sexa Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All All ages 5,373 100.0%3,449 64.2%
0-12 10 0.2%7 **
13-19 18 0.3%11 **
20-29 395 7.4%215 54.4%
30-39 776 14.4%435 56.1%
40-49 1,550 28.8%975 62.9%
50-59 1,674 31.2%1,138 68.0%
60 & over 950 17.7%668 70.3%
Male All ages 4,416 82.2%2,856 64.7%
0-12 **5 *
13-19 **4 *
20-29 342 6.4%192 56.1%
30-39 603 11.2%341 56.6%
40-49 1,255 23.4%793 63.2%
50-59 1,416 26.4%963 68.0%
60 & over 787 14.6%558 70.9%
Female All ages 957 17.8%593 62.0%
0-12 **2 *
13-19 **7 *
20-29 53 1.0%23 **
30-39 173 3.2%94 54.3%
40-49 295 5.5%182 61.7%
50-59 258 4.8%175 67.8%
60 & over 163 3.0%110 67.5%
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]Viral load categories are defined as follows:Suppressed =76-199 copies/ml,Unsuppressed =200+
copies/ml
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 60
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.11: Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Sex and Race/Ethnicity,
Alameda County
All PLHIV Suppressed at Last Viral Load
in 2014c
Sexa Race/
Ethnicityb
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All All races 5,373 100.0%3,449 64.2%
AfrAmer 2,221 41.3%1,338 60.2%
White 1,771 33.0%1,235 69.7%
Latino 940 17.5%582 61.9%
API 318 5.9%213 67.0%
Other/Unk 123 2.3%81 65.9%
Male All races 4,416 82.2%2,856 64.7%
AfrAmer 1,616 30.1%968 59.9%
White 1,618 30.1%1,131 69.9%
Latino 814 15.1%507 62.3%
API 263 4.9%178 67.7%
Other/Unk 105 2.0%72 68.6%
Female All races 957 17.8%593 62.0%
AfrAmer 605 11.3%370 61.2%
White 153 2.8%104 68.0%
Latino 126 2.3%75 59.5%
API 55 1.0%35 **
Other/Unk 18 0.3%9 **
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[c]Viral load categories are defined as follows:Suppressed =76-199 copies/ml,Unsuppressed =200+
copies/ml
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 61
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.12: Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity and Age,
Alameda County
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV Suppressed at Last Viral Load
in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All races All ages 5,373 100.0%3,449 64.2%
0-12 10 0.2%7 **
13-19 18 0.3%11 **
20-29 395 7.4%215 54.4%
30-39 776 14.4%435 56.1%
40-49 1,550 28.8%975 62.9%
50-59 1,674 31.2%1,138 68.0%
60 & over 950 17.7%668 70.3%
AfrAmer All ages 2,221 41.3%1,338 60.2%
0-12 7 0.1%6 **
13-19 11 0.2%5 **
20-29 186 3.5%98 52.7%
30-39 327 6.1%171 52.3%
40-49 604 11.2%361 59.8%
50-59 683 12.7%440 64.4%
60 & over 403 7.5%257 63.8%
White All ages 1,771 33.0%1,235 69.7%
0-12 **1 *
13-19 **2 *
20-29 58 1.1%35 **
30-39 155 2.9%94 60.6%
40-49 474 8.8%313 66.0%
50-59 678 12.6%487 71.8%
60 & over 402 7.5%303 75.4%
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 62
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.12: Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity and Age,
Alameda County (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV Suppressed at Last Viral Load
in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
Latino All ages 940 17.5%582 61.9%
0-12 **0 *
13-19 **3 *
20-29 103 1.9%62 60.2%
30-39 201 3.7%109 54.2%
40-49 316 5.9%196 62.0%
50-59 225 4.2%148 65.8%
60 & over 90 1.7%64 71.1%
API All ages 318 5.9%213 67.0%
0-12 **0 *
13-19 **1 *
20-29 31 0.6%10 **
30-39 63 1.2%42 **
40-49 122 2.3%83 68.0%
50-59 62 1.2%46 **
60 & over 39 0.7%31 **
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 63
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.12: Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 by Race/Ethnicity and Age,
Alameda County (continued)
NOTE:This table spans multiple pages.
All PLHIV Suppressed at Last Viral Load
in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
Other/Unk All ages 123 2.3%81 65.9%
0-12 0 0.0%0 **
13-19 0 0.0%0 **
20-29 17 0.3%10 **
30-39 30 0.6%19 **
40-49 34 0.6%22 **
50-59 26 0.5%17 **
60 & over 16 0.3%13 **
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end2013 who died (N=62)or moved out of the county (N=227)in 2014.
[a]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[b]Viral load categories are defined as follows:Suppressed =76-199 copies/ml,Unsuppressed =200+copies/ml
[*]Some cells suppressed to protect confidentiality.
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
Table 4.13: Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 and in Care in 2014 by Sex,
Alameda County
All PLHIV Suppressed at Last Viral Load
in 2014b
Sexa Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All 4,079 100.0%3,449 84.6%
Male 3,345 82.0%2,856 85.4%
Female 734 18.0%593 80.8%
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62),moved out of the county
(N=227),or did not have any HIV labs reported (N=1294)in 2014.
[a]Refers to sex assigned at birth
[b]Viral load categories are defined as follows:Suppressed =76-199 copies/ml,
Unsuppressed =200+copies/ml
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 64
The Continuum of HIV Care
Table 4.14: Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 and in Care in 2014 by
Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County
All PLHIV Suppressed at Last Viral Load
in 2014b
Race/
Ethnicitya
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All races 4,079 100.0%3,449 84.6%
AfrAmer 1,678 41.1%1,338 79.7%
White 1,364 33.4%1,235 90.5%
Latino 687 16.8%582 84.7%
API 245 6.0%213 86.9%
Other/Unk 105 2.6%81 77.1%
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62),moved out of the county (N=227),
or did not have any HIV labs reported (N=1294)in 2014.
[a]'Other/Unk'=American Indians and Alaskan Natives,multiple race,unknown race
[b]Viral load categories are defined as follows:Suppressed =76-199 copies/ml,
Unsuppressed =200+copies/ml
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
Table 4.15: Viral Suppression in 2014 Among PLHIV at Year-End 2013 and in Care in 2014 by Age,
Alameda County
All PLHIV Suppressed at Last Viral Load
in 2014a
Age at
Year-End
2013
Count Column Percent Count Row Percent
All ages 4,079 100.0%3,449 84.6%
0-12 8 0.2%7 **
13-19 16 0.4%11 **
20-29 304 7.5%215 70.7%
30-39 560 13.7%435 77.7%
40-49 1,165 28.6%975 83.7%
50-59 1,306 32.0%1,138 87.1%
60 & over 720 17.7%668 92.8%
Source:Alameda County eHARS,2016 Q2
NOTE:Excludes PLHIV at year-end 2013 who died (N=62),moved out of the county (N=227),
or did not have any HIV labs reported (N=1294)in 2014.
[a]Viral load categories are defined as follows:Suppressed =76-199 copies/ml,
Unsuppressed =200+copies/ml
[**]Unstable estimates not shown.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 65
Technical Notes
Appendix A: Technical Notes
Data Sources
All counts and proportions in this report were calculated using data from the Enhanced HIV/AIDS Reporting
System (eHARS). Numerators of rates were also obtained from eHARS; denominators were derived using data
from the United States Census (2000 and 2010) and Environmental Systems Research Institute (2012 and later).
Mid-year population estimates for intercensal years prior to 2012 as well as all year-end estimates were obtained
through linear interpolation.
Statistical Analysis
Calculation of Confidence Intervals
All confidence intervals (CI) depicted in the report are at the 95% confidence level. CIs for proportions are
calculated on the log odds (“logit”) scale and then antilogit-transformed in order to preclude lower limits less
than 0% and upper limits greater than 100%. Confidence limits for rates are calculated using a Poisson distribution
for counts less than 100 and a binomial distribution for counts of 100 or greater.
Significance Testing and Statistical Modeling
The statistical significance of associations between categorical variables was tested by Pearson’s chi square test or
Fisher’s exact test, as appropriate. Differences in CD4 count at diagnosis were assessed using ANOVA unless
Levene’s Test for Homogeneity of Variances yielded a significant result (at alpha = 0.05), in which case Welch’s
ANOVA was used. Trend analyses were performed using Join Point [2] to model crude rates as a log-linear function
of year separately for each stratum of the categorical variable(s); errors were assumed to have Poisson variance and
to be independent. Grid search and the modified Bayesian Information Criterion were used to select the best fitting
model from among those with zero to four join points at least 2 years apart between 2007 and 2014 (the second
and second-to-last years examined).
Data Suppression Rules
Proportions
In accordance with draft guidelines released by the National Center for Health Statistics [8], proportions are
considered to be statistically unreliable and are not presented if they meet either of the following criteria:
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 66
Technical Notes
1.The absolute CI width exceeds 20%.
2.The absolute CI width does not exceed 20%, but the relative CI width (the absolute CI width divided by the
lesser of the proportion and its complement) exceeds 120%.
Rates
Rates for subpopulations with fewer than 12 cases are considered to be statistically unreliable and were not pre-
sented. In these instances, the relative standard error of the rate exceeds 30%.
Death Ascertainment
Alameda County HIV surveillance officials are notified by the local Office of Vital Registration whenever HIV
is documented on a death certificate filed in Alameda County. Additionally, the California Office of AIDS pe-
riodically matches state HIV registry data to national death databases such as the National Death Index and the
Social Security Administration’s Death Master File. PLHIV who died outside of Alameda County and were ever
associated with Alameda County or whose HIV was not documented on their death certificate are thus generally
captured through this process with some delay.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 67
Appendix B: Reporting Requirements
The representativeness and accuracy of HIV surveillance data depend on the reliable, complete, and timely
reporting of data by health care providers and laboratories in accordance with California law. The Adult
HIV/AIDS Case Report Form, which is used to report data on cases of HIV infection, is available at
http://www.cdph.ca.gov/pubsforms/forms/CtrldForms/cdph8641a.pdf. Help completing it in Alameda
County can be obtained by calling (510) 268-2372.
Health Care Providers
Title 17, Section 2643.5, “HIV Reporting by Health Care Providers,” requires health care providers to report cases
of HIV disease (at any stage) to the local health department in the jurisdiction of their practice:
(a)Each health care provider that orders a laboratory test used to identify HIV, a component of HIV, or antibodies
to or antigens of HIV shall submit to the laboratory performing the test a pre-printed laboratory requisition
form which includes all documentation as specified in 42 CFR 493.1105 (57 FR 7162, Feb. 28, 1992, as
amended at 58 FR 5229, Jan. 19, 1993) and adopted in Business and Professions Code, Section 1220.
(b)The person authorized to order the laboratory test shall include the following when submitting information
to the laboratory:
(1)Complete name of patient; and
(2)Patient date of birth (2-digit month, 2-digit day, 4-digit year); and
(3)Patient gender (male, female, transgender male-to-female, or transgender female-to-male); and
(4)Date biological specimen was collected; and
(5)Name, address, telephone number of the health care provider and the facility where services were ren-
dered, if different.
(c)Each health care provider shall, within seven calendar days of receipt from a laboratory of a patient’s confirmed
HIV test or determination by the health care provider of a patient’s confirmed HIV test, report the confirmed
HIV test to the local Health Officer for the jurisdiction where the health care provider facility is located. The
report shall consist of a completed copy of the HIV/AIDS Case Report form.
(1)All reports containing personal information, including HIV/AIDS Case Reports, shall be sent to the
local Health Officer or his or her designee by:
68
Technical Notes
(A)courier service, U.S. Postal Service Express or Registered mail, or other traceable mail; or
(B)person-to-person transfer with the local Health Officer or his or her designee.
(2)The health care provider shall not submit reports containing personal information to the local Health
Officer or his or her designee by electronic facsimile transmission or by electronic mail or by non-
traceable mail.
(d)HIV reporting by name to the local Health Officer, via submission of the HIV/AIDS Case Report, shall
not supplant the reporting requirements in Article 1 of this Subchapter when a patient’s medical condition
progresses from HIV infection to an Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) diagnosis.
(e)A health care provider who receives notification from an out-of-state laboratory of a confirmed HIV test for a
California patient shall report the findings to the local Health Officer for the jurisdiction where the health
care provider facility is located.
(f)When a health care provider orders multiple HIV-related viral load tests for a patient, or receives multiple
laboratory reports of a confirmed HIV test, the health care provider shall be required to submit only one
HIV/AIDS Case Report, per patient, to the local Health Officer.
(g)Nothing in this Subchapter shall prohibit the local health department from assisting health care providers to
report HIV cases.
(h)Information reported pursuant to this Article is acquired in confidence and shall not be disclosed by the health
care provider except as authorized by this Article, other state or federal law, or with the written consent of
the individual to whom the information pertains or the legal representative of that individual.
Note: Authority cited: Sections 120125, 120130, 120140, 121022, 131080 and 131200, Health and Safety Code.
Reference: Sections 1202.5, 1206, 1206.5, 1220, 1241, 1265 and 1281, Business and Professions Code; and Sections
1603.1, 101160, 120175, 120250, 120775, 120885-120895, 120917, 120975, 120980, 121015, 121022, 121025, 121035,
121085, 131051, 131052, 131056 and 131080, Health and Safety Code.
Laboratories
Title 17, Section 2643.10, “HIV Reporting by Laboratories,” requires laboratories to report all HIV-related labora-
tory tests to the local health department in the jurisdiction of the ordering provider:
(a)The laboratory director or authorized designee shall, within seven calendar days of determining a confirmed
HIV test, report the confirmed HIV test to the Health Officer for the local health jurisdiction where the
health care provider facility is located. The report shall include the
(1)Complete name of patient; and
(2)Patient date of birth (2-digit month, 2-digit day, 4-digit year); and
(3)Patient gender (male, female, transgender male-to-female, or transgender female-to-male); and
(4)Name, address, and telephone number of the health care provider and the facility that submitted the
biological specimen to the laboratory, if different; and
(5)Name, address, and telephone number of the laboratory; and
(6)Laboratory report number as assigned by the laboratory; and
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 69
Technical Notes
(7)Laboratory results of the test performed; and
(8)Date the biological specimen was tested in the laboratory; and
(9)Laboratory Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments (CLIA) number.
(b)
(1)All reports containing personal information, including laboratory reports, shall be sent to the local
Health Officer or his or her designee by:
(A)courier service, U.S. Postal Service Express or Registered mail, or other traceable mail; or
(B)person-to-person transfer with the local Health Officer or his or her designee.
(2)The laboratory shall not submit reports containing personal information to the local Health Officer or
his or her designee by electronic facsimile transmission or by electronic mail or by non-traceable mail.
(c)A laboratory that receives incomplete patient data from a health care provider for a biological specimen with
a confirmed HIV test, shall contact the submitting health care provider to obtain the information required
pursuant to Section 2643.5(b)(1)-(5), prior to reporting the confirmed HIV test to the local Health Officer.
(d)If a laboratory transfers a biological specimen to another laboratory for testing, the laboratory that first receives
the biological specimen from the health care provider shall report confirmed HIV tests to the local Health
Officer.
(e)Laboratories shall not submit reports to the local health department for confirmed HIV tests for patients of
an Alternative Testing Site or other anonymous HIV testing program, a blood bank, a plasma center, or for
participants of a blinded and/or unlinked seroprevalence study.
(f)When a California laboratory receives a biological specimen for testing from an out-of-state laboratory or health
care provider, the California director of the laboratory shall ensure that a confirmed HIV test is reported to
the state health department in the state where the biological specimen originated.
(g)When a California laboratory receives a report from an out of state laboratory that indicates evidence of a
confirmed HIV test for a California patient, the California laboratory shall notify the local Health Officer
and health care provider in the same manner as if the findings had been made by the California laboratory.
(h)Information reported pursuant to this Article is acquired in confidence and shall not be disclosed by the
laboratory except as authorized by this Article, other state or federal law, or with the written consent of the
individual to whom the information pertains or the legal representative of the individual.
Note: Authority cited: Section 1224, Business and Professions Code; and Sections 120125, 120130, 120140, 121022,
131080 and 131200, Health and Safety Code. Reference: Sections 1206, 1206.5, 1209, 1220, 1241, 1265, 1281 and
1288, Business and Professions Code; and Sections 101150, 120175, 120775, 120885-120895, 120975, 120980, 121022,
121025, 121035, 131051, 131052, 131056 and 131080, Health and Safety Code.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 70
Appendix C: HIV Surveillance in Alameda County
California Code of Regulations (CCR) Title 17, Section 2643.5 requires all health care providers (HCP) to report
all cases of HIV disease they encounter in their clinical practice to the county/local health jurisdiction in which
the encounter occurs. Additionally, CCR Title 17, Section 2643.10 requires all commercial laboratories to report
all HIV-related laboratory tests they conduct to the local health jurisdiction of the HCP who ordered the test,
providing an additional means by which local health departments may learn of a case of HIV disease.
In November 2015, California adopted the Electronic Laboratory Reporting (ELR) system for laboratories per-
forming HIV testing. [7] HIV test results delivered through ELR meet the statutory and regulatory reporting
requirements for HIV test results. HIV-related laboratory results are submitted to the California Department
of Public Health (CDPH) and routed to Alameda County for investigation. Establishment of ELR resulted in
major changes in the local processing and management of laboratory results for HIV surveillance. Figure A.2
illustrates the steps involved in processing lab results, including ELR, for HIV surveillance in Alameda County.
As shown in the figure, reported labs are checked against a local database to identify cases not previously re-
ported. Potential new cases are investigated by trained field staff, who visit the office of the HCP that or-
dered the laboratory tests(s) or submitted the report and complete a standardized case report form (available
at http://www.cdph.ca.gov/pubsforms/forms/CtrldForms/cdph8641a.pdf) using information abstracted
from the patient’s medical record and obtained from the HCP. Forms are then transmitted to CDPH, which in
turn routinely submits de-identified data to CDC. When cases reported by different states appear to be the same
person, CDC notifies the appropriate states to contact each other directly and determine whether the cases are
duplicates.
Security and Confidentiality of Data
In accordance with the county’s data use and disclosure agreement with CDPH, all data collected in the course of
conducting HIV surveillance are used solely for public health purposes. Additionally, administrative, technical, and
physical safeguards are in place to ensure the security and confidentiality of these data. All paper records are stored
in locked file cabinets in an office with restricted access. Electronic data transmissions are encrypted and occur over
a secure file transfer network. All electronic data are stored in a restricted access directory on a protected server.
Limitations of Surveillance Data and of County Analysis
A major strength of HIV surveillance data is that it captures and reflects the entire population of HIV diagnosed
individuals. HIV surveillance data are not without their limitations however, which limit the analyses that can be
done. These limitations include, but are not limited to:
71
Technical Notes
•Data quality:Public health investigators extract required information from medical records for HIV report-
ing. Some information, such as risk factors or identification as transgender may not have been available in
the medical record, elicited from the patient by the HCP, or adequately described.
•Data quantity:In small subpopulations, the number of new diagnoses or PLHIV was not large enough to
allow certain analyses. Statistical analyses based on small numbers may result in unstable estimates which
can be misleading.
•Timeliness of reporting:Surveillance data are the product of a long process triggered by a visit to a HCP
by an HIV-infected individual and culminating in the entry of case data into the statewide HIV surveillance
database at the California Department of Public Health. Intermediate steps include, but are not limited to,
laboratory testing, submission of case reports and lab results to the local health department, and investigation
of each report. Data preparation, analysis and interpretation take additional time. For these reasons, there
can be a 6-12 month delay in estimating numbers of diagnoses or PLHIV and in estimating any measures
dependent on laboratory test results.
•History of reporting laws:The laws mandating the reporting of HIV-related laboratory test results and of
cases of HIV disease at its different stages have changed over time, and this impacts our ability to characterize
the epidemic at different points in the past. Although AIDS has been reportable since 1983, HIV disease at
its earlier stages was not reportable until mid-2002 and even then only by a non-name code. More reliable,
name-based data on HIV non-AIDS cases became mandated in 2006, and HIV-related labs became reportable
in California in 2009. Consequently, most of analyses are limited to 2006 and later, and analyses relying on
laboratory reporting are limited to 2010 and later.
Figure A.1: Timeline of Mandated HIV Reporting in California
1983
2002
2006
2009HIV−related laboratory
results reportable
HIV non−AIDS reportable
by name
HIV non−AIDS reportable
by non−name code
Stage 3 HIV infection
(AIDS) reportable
1990 2000 2010
Year
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 72
Technical Notes
Figure A.2: The HIV Surveillance System in Alameda County
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 73
Technical Notes
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 74
Bibliography
[1]California hiv surveillance report —2014, October 2016. URL http://www.cdph.ca.gov/programs/
aids/Documents/California%20HIV%20Surveillance%20Report%20-%202014.pdf.
[2]Joinpoint regression program, version 4.3.1.0, April 2016. URL
https://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/.
[3]Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Revised surveillance case definition for hiv infection —united
states, 2014, April 2014. URL http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/rr6303a1.htm.
[4]Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Diagnoses of hiv infection in the united states and dependent
areas, 2015, November 2016. URL https://www.cdc.gov/hiv/pdf/library/reports/surveillance/
cdc-hiv-surveillance-report-2015-vol-27.pdf.
[5]Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Monitoring selected national hiv prevention and care objectives
by using hiv surveillance data—united states and 6 dependent areas—2014, July 2016. URL
https://www.cdc.gov/hiv/pdf/library/reports/surveillance/
cdc-hiv-surveillance-supplemental-report-vol-21-4.pdf.
[6]Eve Mokotoff, Lucia V. Torian, Monica Olkowski, James T. Murphy, Dena Bensen, Maree Kay Parisi, and
Jennifer Chase. Positions statements 2007: Heterosexual hiv transmission classification, 2007. URL
www.cste.org/resource/resmgr/PS/07-ID-09.pdf.
[7]California Department of Public Health. Establishment of state electronic laboratory reporting system for
hiv, November 2015. URL
https://www.cdph.ca.gov/programs/aids/Documents/HIVELRLaunchLetter.doc.pdf.
[8]Jennifer Parker. Draft suppression/presentation guidelines guidelines for proportions, January 2015. URL
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/bsc/bscpres_parker_january2015.pdf.
HIV in Alameda County, 2013-2015 75
Alameda County
Public Health Department
1000 Broadway, Suite 310
Oakland, CA 94607